CFB · 2026 betting profile
Missouri Tigers
5-1 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #9 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited
at
9Ole Miss Rebels
9Ole Miss RebelsSpreadMissouri +5.5
Total58.5
Moneyline+180
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +4.6 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -0.6 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +15 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +15.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -6.3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +8.6 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -3.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +2 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.9 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Texas A&M | W 27-6 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 50.5 | U -17.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Florida | W 45-17 | +5.5 | W +33.5 | 57.5 | O +4.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Mississippi State | L 24-31 | +3.5 | L -3.5 | 58.5 | U -3.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Troy | W 27-17 | -26.5 | L -16.5 | 49.5 | U -5.5 |
| Sep 11 | at Kansas | W 38-21 | -4 | W +13 | 51.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 3 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W 54-14 | -55.5 | L -15.5 | 62.5 | O +5.5 |
Close is Missouri's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | +4.6 |
| 2025 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.6 |
| 2023 | 11-2 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +6.7 |
| 2022 | 6-7 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 4-9 | 31% | -1.2 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -4.6 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 3-6 | 33% | Small sample | 5-5 | 50% | -3.7 |
| 2019 | 6-6 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 2-10 | 17% | -5.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.