OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

Troy Trojans

3-2 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #85 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 5 PMESPN+
atLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns
SpreadTroy +3
Total49.5
Moneyline+128
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games2-340%Small sample+0.2
Home1-233%Small sample-2.5
Road1-150%Small sample+4.2
Favorite1-233%Small sample-2.5
Underdog1-150%Small sample+4.2
Conference1-0100%Small sample+11.5
Non-conference1-325%Small sample-2.6
Last 52-340%Small sample+0.2

5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games1-420%Small sample+1.3
Home1-233%Small sample+9.5
Road0-20%Small sample-11
Conference1-0100%Small sample+37.5
Non-conference0-40%Small sample-7.8
Last 51-420%Small sample+1.3

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 6vs Southern MissW 55-34-9.5W +11.551.5O +37.5
Sep 26at Utah StateL 10-21+3L -847.5U -16.5
Sep 19at MissouriL 17-27+26.5W +16.549.5U -5.5
Sep 12vs Alabama State HornetsW 34-17-23.5L -6.552.5U -1.5
Sep 5vs Sam HoustonW 24-21-15.5L -12.552.5U -7.5

Close is Troy's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20263-22-340%Small sample1-420%+0.2
20258-610-471%Small sample5-936%+2.9
20244-86-650%Small sample6-650%+0.8
202311-38-657%Small sample6-843%+4
202212-211-379%Small sample6-843%+4.3
20215-74-833%Small sample7-558%-5.5
20205-65-646%Small sample3-7-130%+0.5
20195-74-833%Small sample6-555%-4.2

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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