OfftheNumber
4-2, 3-3 ATS
17
at
5-1, 3-3 ATS
45
FinalABCESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
FLA -5.5
MIZ +5.5
Open –
Total
Over 57.5
Under 57.5

Source: DraftKings.

FLA 17, MIZ 45. MIZ covered by 33.5, over by 4.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread4 of 7 on Florida
Florida 43 Missouri
Total1 capper on Over
Over 10 Under
Moneyline5 of 5 on Florida
Florida 50 Missouri

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 2 common opponents
Opponent Florida Missouri
Mississippi St
W 23-21 home
+2 · -9.5 Didn't cover
W 49-27 home
+22 · -7.5 Covered
Texas A&M
L 17-34 away
-17 · +6.5 Didn't cover
L 17-38 home
-21 · +6.5 Didn't cover

Against 2 common opponents: Florida lost by 7.5 on average, 0-2 against the spread. Missouri won by 0.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
4 Florida3 Missouri
Florida +5.54
Big Cat *Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:20 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco *Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:20 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original postTom Fornelli Line +4.5 · Price -115 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 10:01 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original postTaylor Lewan 3u*Line +4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 3u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 30 6:45 PM ET · Flat record 8-9, -0.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Missouri +5.53
Will Compton *Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 3 10:06 AM ET · Flat record 8-11, -3.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postStuckey *Line +6 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 2 12:21 PM ET · Flat record 41-28-1, +9.2u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:20 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 56.51
Josh Pate 5u*Line 56.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 5u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 30 6:45 PM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Florida, Kirk Herbstreit on Florida, Desmond Howard on Florida, Pat McAfee on Florida, Nick Saban on Florida

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Florida WLWWLL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite3-3 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Missouri LWLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 3, 2026FLA 17, MIZ 45FLA -5.5MIZ covered57.5Over
Nov 18, 2023FLA 31, MIZ 33MIZ -12.5FLA covered56Over
Oct 8, 2022MIZ 17, FLA 24FLA -11MIZ covered53.5Under
Nov 20, 2021FLA 23, MIZ 24FLA -9.5MIZ covered68.5Under
Oct 31, 2020MIZ 17, FLA 41FLA -13.5FLA covered63.5Under
Nov 16, 2019FLA 23, MIZ 6FLA -6.5FLA covered51Under

Florida 3-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

FLAMIZ
4-2Record5-1
3-3Against the spread3-3
4-2Over-under3-3
-4.1Avg cover margin+4.6
41.7Points per game35.8
29.0Points allowed17.7
6.66Yards per play6.30
473.8Yards per game438.2
5.00Rush yards per carry4.70
72.1Completion %64.1
45.2Third down %42.2
+4Turnover margin+8
8Sacks allowed6
77.8Penalty yards per game64.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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