OfftheNumber
5-1, 3-3 ATS
24
at
FinalSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
MIZ +3.5
MSST -3.5
Open –
Total
Over 58.5
Under 58.5

Source: DraftKings.

MIZ 24, MSST 31. MSST covered by 3.5, under by 3.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 4 on Mississippi St
Missouri 13 Mississippi St
TotalSplit 1-1
Over 11 Under
Moneyline3 of 5 on Mississippi St
Missouri 23 Mississippi St

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 2 common opponents
Opponent Missouri Mississippi St
Arkansas
W 31-17 away
+14 · -4.5 Covered
W 38-35 away
+3 · +5.5 Covered
Texas A&M
L 17-38 home
-21 · +6.5 Didn't cover
L 9-31 away
-22 · +17.5 Didn't cover

Against 2 common opponents: Missouri lost by 3.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Mississippi St lost by 9.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Missouri3 Mississippi St
Mississippi St -6.53
Trent Attyah 1u*Line -6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used in their sized record) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 9:58 AM ET · Flat record 20-29-1, -10.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line -6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postTom Fornelli Line -6 · Price -110 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 1:33 PM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Missouri -5.51
Josh Pate *Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 3:21 AM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
1 Over1 Under
Under 58.51
Rico Bosco *Line 58.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original post
Over 58.51
Big Cat *Line 58.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Missouri, Kirk Herbstreit on Missouri, Desmond Howard on Mississippi State, Pat McAfee on Mississippi State, Nick Saban on Mississippi State

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Missouri LWLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Mississippi State WWWWL

ATSTotals
All games4-1 80%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As favorite3-0 100%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 26, 2026MIZ 24, MSST 31MSST -3.5MSST covered58.5Under
Nov 15, 2025MSST 27, MIZ 49MIZ -7.5MIZ covered50.5Over
Nov 23, 2024MIZ 39, MSST 20MIZ -9.5MIZ covered57.5Over
Dec 19, 2020MIZ 32, MSST 51MIZ -1.5MSST covered49Over

Missouri 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

MIZMSST
5-1Record4-1
3-3Against the spread4-1
3-3Over-under3-2
+4.6Avg cover margin+6
35.8Points per game39.0
17.7Points allowed28.0
6.30Yards per play6.60
438.2Yards per game487.0
4.70Rush yards per carry4.80
64.1Completion %65.7
42.2Third down %48.4
+8Turnover margin+0
6Sacks allowed13
64.5Penalty yards per game69.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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