Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PMVaught-Hemingway StadiumSEC Network
The number
Spread
MIZ +5.5-112
MISS -5.5-110
First seen Fri 1:50 PM MISS -5.5
Fair, no vig: MIZ -101 / MISS +101 (hold 5.2%)
Best: MIZ +5.5 -105 at FanDuel; MISS -5 -110 at BetMGM
Total
Over 58.5-110
Under 58.5-110
First seen Fri 1:50 PM 58.5
Fair, no vig: O -100 / U -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 58.5 -108 at FanDuel; U 58.5 -105 at Fanatics
Moneyline
MIZ +180
MISS -225
First seen Fri 1:50 PM MISS -225
Fair, no vig: MIZ +194 / MISS -194 (hold 4.9%)
Best: MIZ +185 at DraftKings; MISS -215 at Fanatics
Updated Fri 2 PM ETConsensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (10)
Book
MIZ
MISS
Over
Under
MIZ ML
MISS ML
DraftKings
+5.5-115
-5.5-105
o58.5-112
u58.5-108
+185
-225
FanDuel
+5.5-105
-5.5-115
o58.5-108
u58.5-112
+184
-225
BetMGM
+5-108
-5-110
o58.5-110
u58.5-108
+180
-220
Caesars
+5.5-108
-5.5-112
o58.5-112
u58.5-109
+181
-218
theScore Bet
+5.5-120
-5.5+100
o58.5-110
u58.5-110
+180
-215
BetRivers
+5.5-113
-5.5-110
o58.5-112
u58.5-112
+180
-240
Fanatics
+5.5-110
-5.5-110
o58.5-115
u58.5-105
+175
-215
Hard Rock Bet
+5.5-110
-5.5-110
o58.5-110
u58.5-110
+180
-230
Bally Bet
+5.5-112
-5.5-110
o58.5-110
u58.5-110
+180
-235
betPARX
+5.5-112
-5.5-110
o58.5-110
u58.5-110
+180
-235
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Line movement
MISS line, first number we saw to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.Total, first number we saw to now.
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
Opponent
Missouri
Ole Miss
Florida
W 45-17home
+28 · +5.5 Covered
L 28-52away
-24 · +4 Didn't cover
Against 1 common opponent: Missouri won by 28.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Ole Miss lost by 24.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent
Missouri
Ole Miss
Arkansas
W 31-17away
+14 · -4.5 Covered
W 41-35home
+6 · -4.5 Covered
Mississippi St
W 49-27home
+22 · -7.5 Covered
W 38-19away
+19 · -7.5 Covered
Oklahoma
L 6-17away
-11 · +4.5 Didn't cover
W 34-26away
+8 · +5.5 Covered
South Carolina
W 29-20home
+9 · -10.5 Didn't cover
W 30-14home
+16 · -13.5 Covered
Against 4 common opponents: Missouri won by 8.5 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Ole Miss won by 12.2 on average, 4-0 against the spread.
Head to head since 2019
Date
Score
Close
ATS
Total
O-U
Oct 12, 2019
MISS 27, MIZ 38
MIZ -12.5
MISS covered
56.5
Over
Missouri 0-1 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
MIZ
MISS
5-1
Record
4-1
3-3
Against the spread
2-3
3-3
Over-under
3-2
+4.6
Avg cover margin
+0.1
35.8
Points per game
38.8
17.7
Points allowed
28.0
6.30
Yards per play
6.38
438.2
Yards per game
433.8
4.70
Rush yards per carry
4.40
64.1
Completion %
68.9
42.2
Third down %
43.1
+8
Turnover margin
+1
6
Sacks allowed
5
64.5
Penalty yards per game
65.6
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
What the public cappers like
Spread
1 Missouri3 Ole Miss
Ole Miss -5.53
Brad Powers*Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 16 7:14 AM ET · No graded picks yet · Original postRico Bosco*Line -6 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original postDave Portnoy*Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Missouri -61
Big Cat*Line -6 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 58.51
Dave Portnoy*Line 58.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Moneyline
No picks
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Missouri
Ole Miss
Florida
Arkansas
Mississippi St
Oklahoma
South Carolina
MIZ