OfftheNumber
3-2, 2-3 ATS
17
at
5-1, 3-3 ATS
27
FinalESPN+

Closing number

Spread
TROY +26.5
MIZ -26.5
Open –
Total
Over 49.5
Under 49.5

Source: DraftKings.

TROY 17, MIZ 27. TROY covered by 16.5, under by 5.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 1 common opponent
Opponent Troy Missouri
Louisiana
W 35-23 home
+12 · -7.5 Covered
W 52-10 home
+42 · -27.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Troy won by 12.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Missouri won by 42.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
No picks
Total
Troy team over 37.51
Tom Fornelli 1uLine 37.5 · Price -110 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 17 2:25 PM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Troy LLWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Missouri LWLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
As favorite2-2 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 19, 2026TROY 17, MIZ 27MIZ -26.5TROY covered49.5Under
Oct 5, 2019TROY 10, MIZ 42MIZ -24.5MIZ covered59.5Under

Troy 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

TROYMIZ
3-2Record5-1
2-3Against the spread3-3
1-4Over-under3-3
+0.2Avg cover margin+4.6
28.0Points per game35.8
24.0Points allowed17.7
5.72Yards per play6.30
429.8Yards per game438.2
5.20Rush yards per carry4.70
56.1Completion %64.1
38.4Third down %42.2
+5Turnover margin+8
10Sacks allowed6
79.4Penalty yards per game64.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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