
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Wisconsin Badgers
4-1 straight up · 3-2 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #26 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7:30 PMNBCPeacock
at
12UCLA Bruins
SpreadWisconsin +2.5
Total43.5
Moneyline+115
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7:30 PM
Wisconsin4-1
12UCLA5-0+2.5-2.5o43.5u43.5+115-139UCLA -3.5moved 1 to WISNBCPeacockOpen UCLA -3.5 · moved 1 to WISNBCPeacockSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
19USC6-1
Wisconsin4-1-1.5+1.5o52.5u52.5-120+100–NBCPeacockNBCPeacock
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +6 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13.5 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +16.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +6 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.3 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +6.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | vs Michigan State | W 31-3 | -8.5 | W +19.5 | 43.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Penn State | W 24-20 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 43.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Eastern Michigan | W 54-10 | -23.5 | W +20.5 | 43.5 | O +20.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Western Illinois Leathernecks | W 36-9 | -43.5 | L -16.5 | 53.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 6 | vs Notre Dame | L 13-41 | +21 | L -7 | 45.5 | O +8.5 |
Close is Wisconsin's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +6 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 2-10 | 17% | -1.8 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 6-6-1 | 50% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -3.7 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -3.1 |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 43% | Small sample | 3-4 | 43% | -2.1 |
| 2019 | 10-4 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 5-9 | 36% | +5.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.