CFB · 2026 betting profile
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
6-0 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 4-2 over-under · #2 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7:30 PMABCESPN Unlimited
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8BYU Cougars
8BYU CougarsSpreadNotre Dame -10.5
Total46.5
Moneyline-425
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Favorite | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +1.6 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +9 |
| Non-conference | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Stanford | W 58-7 | -40.5 | W +10.5 | 55.5 | O +9.5 |
| Oct 3 | at North Carolina | W 37-26 | -21 | L -10 | 46.5 | O +16.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Purdue | W 49-10 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 57.5 | O +1.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Michigan State | W 27-10 | -28.5 | L -11.5 | 51.5 | U -14.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Rice | W 52-0 | -44.5 | W +7.5 | 54.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 6 | vs Wisconsin | W 41-13 | -21 | W +7 | 45.5 | O +8.5 |
Close is Notre Dame's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6-0 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 4-2 | 67% | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 10-2 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +4.5 |
| 2024 | 14-2 | 12-4 | 75% | Small sample | 9-7 | 56% | +9.1 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 9-3-1 | 75% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +7.6 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 8-4-1 | 67% | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 11-2 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +7.8 |
| 2020 | 10-2 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +3.2 |
| 2019 | 11-2 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | +5.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.