CFB · 2026 betting profile
Air Force Falcons
4-1 straight up · 3-2 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #67 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMCBSSN
vs
UNLV Rebels
UNLV RebelsSpreadAir Force -1.5
Total48.5
Moneyline-112
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 3:30 PM
UNLV4-2
Air Force4-1+1.5-1.5o48.5u48.5-110-112UNLV -1.5moved 3 to AFCBSSNOpen UNLV -1.5 · moved 3 to AFCBSSNFri Oct 23, 9 PMAir Force4-1
Wyoming3-3No line yet–The CWThe CW
UNLV4-2Air Force4-1+1.5-1.5o48.5u48.5-110-112UNLV -1.5moved 3 to AFCBSSNOpen UNLV -1.5 · moved 3 to AFCBSSNFri Oct 23, 9 PMAir Force4-1Wyoming3-3No line yet–The CWThe CWOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.6 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +6.2 |
| Favorite | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +4.4 |
| Underdog | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +2.7 |
| Non-conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.6 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.5 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +8.8 |
| Non-conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -22 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Northern Illinois | W 28-7 | -7 | W +14 | 48.5 | U -13.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Navy | W 14-9 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 45.5 | U -22.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Nevada | W 36-33 | -4.5 | L -1.5 | 50.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs North Dakota State | L 32-38 | +1.5 | L -4.5 | 48.5 | O +21.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Duquesne Dukes | W 34-0 | -31.5 | W +2.5 | 55.5 | U -21.5 |
Close is Air Force's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -1.8 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1.9 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -2.8 |
| 2022 | 10-3 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +2.1 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +3.4 |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | +7 |
| 2019 | 11-2 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +6.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.