Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
AF 36, NEV 33. NEV covered by 1.5, over by 18.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
| Opponent |  Air Force |  Nevada |
|---|---|---|
 Boise St | L 37-49 home -12 · +11.5 Didn't cover | L 3-24 home -21 · +20.5 Didn't cover |
 New Mexico | L 3-20 home -17 · +3.5 Didn't cover | L 22-24 away -2 · +14.5 Covered |
 San José St | W 26-16 away +10 · +6.5 Covered | W 55-10 home +45 · +9.5 Covered |
 UNLV | L 48-51 away -3 · +7.5 Covered | L 17-42 home -25 · +7.5 Didn't cover |
 Utah St | L 30-49 away -19 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 14-51 away -37 · +9.5 Didn't cover |
 Wyoming | W 24-21 home +3 · -3.5 Didn't cover | W 13-7 away +6 · +6.5 Covered |
Against 6 common opponents: Air Force lost by 6.3 on average, 2-4 against the spread. Nevada lost by 5.7 on average, 3-3 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026 to date
Air Force WLLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 60%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Nevada WLLWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 60%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 2-1 67% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-1 67%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | AF 36, NEV 33 | AF -4.5 | NEV covered | 50.5 | Over |
| Nov 23, 2024 | AF 22, NEV 19 | NEV -2.5 | AF covered | 44.5 | Under |
| Sep 23, 2022 | NEV 20, AF 48 | AF -24.5 | AF covered | 46.5 | Over |
| Nov 19, 2021 | AF 41, NEV 39 | AF -1.5 | AF covered | 54.5 | Over |
Air Force 3-1 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
 AF | NEV  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-3 |
| 3-2 | Against the spread | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| +2.6 | Avg cover margin | +5.2 |
| 28.8 | Points per game | 27.8 |
| 17.4 | Points allowed | 22.0 |
| 5.42 | Yards per play | 5.71 |
| 400.0 | Yards per game | 380.4 |
| 5.10 | Rush yards per carry | 5.40 |
| 47.9 | Completion % | 56.9 |
| 53.8 | Third down % | 35.9 |
| +1 | Turnover margin | -2 |
| 3 | Sacks allowed | 7 |
| 47.8 | Penalty yards per game | 57.0 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.