OfftheNumber
Navy Midshipmen
2-3, 1-4 ATS
9
at
Air Force Falcons
4-1, 3-2 ATS
14
FinalCBSParamount+

Closing number

Spread
NAVY +2.5
AF -2.5
Open –
Total
Over 45.5
Under 45.5

Source: DraftKings.

NAVY 9, AF 14. AF covered by 2.5, under by 22.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on Air Force
Navy 01 Air Force
TotalSplit 1-1
Over 11 Under
Moneyline1 capper on Navy
Navy 10 Air Force

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 1 common opponent
Opponent Navy Air Force
Army
W 17-16 neutral
+1 · -6 Didn't cover
L 17-20 home
-3 · +1.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Navy won by 1.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Air Force lost by 3.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Navy1 Air Force
Air Force -31
Rico Bosco 1u*Line -3 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:20 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original post
Total
1 Over1 Under
Under 46.51
Tom Fornelli 1uLine 46.5 · Price -110 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:48 PM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original post
Over 45.51
Big Cat 1u*Line 45.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:20 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
1 Navy0 Air Force
Navy1
Tom Fornelli 1uPrice +144 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 1 1:48 PM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original post

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Navy LLLLW

ATSTotals
All games1-4 20%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road0-3 0%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As underdog0-1 0%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Air Force WLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As favorite3-1 75%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 3, 2026NAVY 9, AF 14AF -2.5AF covered45.5Under
Oct 4, 2025AF 31, NAVY 34NAVY -13.5AF covered51.5Over
Oct 5, 2024NAVY 34, AF 7NAVY -9.5NAVY covered37.5Over
Oct 21, 2023AF 17, NAVY 6AF -11.5NAVY covered34Under
Oct 1, 2022NAVY 10, AF 13AF -14NAVY covered38.5Under
Sep 11, 2021AF 23, NAVY 3AF -6.5AF covered39.5Under
Oct 3, 2020NAVY 7, AF 40NAVY -6.5AF covered46.5Over
Oct 5, 2019AF 25, NAVY 34AF -3NAVY covered46.5Over

Navy 4-4 ATS in these meetings. 8 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

NAVYAF
2-3Record4-1
1-4Against the spread3-2
3-2Over-under2-3
-5Avg cover margin+2.6
27.0Points per game28.8
23.4Points allowed17.4
5.90Yards per play5.42
401.4Yards per game400.0
5.70Rush yards per carry5.10
43.3Completion %47.9
43.3Third down %53.8
+2Turnover margin+1
9Sacks allowed3
39.8Penalty yards per game47.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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