
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Navy Midshipmen
2-3 straight up · 1-4 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #77 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 8 PMESPNUESPN Unlimited
at
UTSA Roadrunners
SpreadNavy +6.5
Total55.5
Moneyline+215
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 8 PM
Navy2-3
UTSA5-1+6.5-6.5o55.5u55.5+215-260UTSA -6.5ESPNUESPN UnlimitedOpen UTSA -6.5ESPNUESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 3:30 PM
North Texas4-2
Navy2-3No line yet–CBSSNCBSSN
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -5 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Road | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -8.5 |
| Favorite | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -5.6 |
| Underdog | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -6 |
| Non-conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -3.5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -5 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -0.3 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +9.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -6.8 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Non-conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -0.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Tulsa | W 34-26 | -3 | W +5 | 47.5 | O +12.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Air Force | L 9-14 | +2.5 | L -2.5 | 45.5 | U -22.5 |
| Sep 25 | at UAB | L 20-24 | -6.5 | L -10.5 | 50.5 | U -6.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Florida Atlantic | L 30-38 | -4.5 | L -12.5 | 59.5 | O +8.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Towson Tigers | W 42-15 | -31.5 | L -4.5 | 50.5 | O +6.5 |
Close is Navy's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | -5 |
| 2025 | 11-2 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 8-4 | 67% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +4.3 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 4-7-1 | 36% | -4.4 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +3.8 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 8-4 | 67% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +2.6 |
| 2020 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 40% | Small sample | 6-4 | 60% | -7.5 |
| 2019 | 11-2 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +8.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.