OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

San Diego State Aztecs

2-4 straight up · 1-5 ATS · 4-2 over-under · #102 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 10:30 PMCBSSN
vsFresno State Bulldogs
SpreadSan Diego State +7.5
Total45.5
Moneyline+260
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games1-517%Small sample-12.3
Home1-233%Small sample-3.2
Road0-30%Small sample-21.5
Favorite0-20%Small sample-10.8
Underdog1-325%Small sample-13.1
Conference1-150%Small sample-12.8
Non-conference0-40%Small sample-12.1
Last 51-420%Small sample-13.7

6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games4-267%Small sample+4.2
Home2-167%Small sample+2.2
Road2-167%Small sample+6.2
Conference2-0100%Small sample+15
Non-conference2-250%Small sample-1.2
Last 53-260%Small sample+2.7

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10at Oregon StateL 14-66+14.5L -37.552.5O +27.5
Oct 3vs Texas StateW 31-29+10W +1257.5O +2.5
Sep 26at ToledoL 16-41+2.5L -22.550.5O +6.5
Sep 19vs James MadisonL 13-26-3L -1646.5U -7.5
Sep 12at UCLAL 10-28+13.5L -4.553.5U -15.5
Sep 5vs Portland State VikingsW 53-20-38.5L -5.561.5O +11.5

Close is San Diego State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20262-41-517%Small sample4-267%-12.3
20259-49-375%Small sample4-833%+6.5
20243-94-736%Small sample6-555%-3
20234-87-558%Small sample5-742%-4.1
20227-65-838%Small sample6-746%-3.2
202112-27-6-154%Small sample7-750%+0.7
20204-45-362%Small sample2-625%+3.1
201910-38-562%Small sample2-1115%+3.5

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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