OfftheNumber
Sat Oct 17 ยท 10:30 PMCBSSNSnapdragon Stadium

The number

Spread
FRES -7.5 -107
SDSU +7.5 -113
Open FRES -8.5 moved 1
Fair, no vig: FRES +103 / SDSU -103 (hold 4.7%)
Best: FRES -7.5 -102 at BetMGM; SDSU +7.5 -105 at theScore Bet
Total
Over 45.5 -112
Under 45.5 -108
Fair, no vig: O -102 / U +102 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 45.5 -105 at theScore Bet; U 45.5 -107 at Caesars
Moneyline
FRES -320
SDSU +250
Fair, no vig: FRES -267 / SDSU +267 (hold 4.8%)
Best: FRES -300 at BetMGM; SDSU +260 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 3 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookFRESSDSUOverUnderFRES MLSDSU ML
DraftKings-7.5-105+7.5-115o45.5-112u45.5-108-305+245
FanDuel-7.5-105+7.5-115o45.5-112u45.5-108-310+240
BetMGM-7.5-102+7.5-115o45.5-110u45.5-108-300+240
Caesars-7.5-107+7.5-113o45.5-113u45.5-107-320+250
theScore Bet-7.5-115+7.5-105o45.5-105u45.5-115-320+260
BetRivers-7.5-110+7.5-112o45.5-114u45.5-109-335+250
Hard Rock Bet-7.5-105+7.5-115o45.5-110u45.5-110-325+250
Bally Bet-7.5-109+7.5-110o45.5-112u45.5-108-335+250
betPARX-7.5-109+7.5-110o45.5-112u45.5-108-335+250

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (FRES -8.5 to FRES -7.5).

-6-7-8-9-10-11key 7key 10OpenNow
FRES line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
44454647OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the Pac-12 availability report (Second Report). Posted Thu 10:03 PM ET. Schools file it by 10 PM ET the three nights before the game and 2 hours before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Fresno State
Out
  • Gino Quinones OL
  • Noah Yeh DL
  • Ryan Wilson DB
Questionable
  • Ethan Rossetti SP
  • Jairus Satele DL
  • Jonah Leaupepetele OL
  • Logan Studt ILB
  • Marquise Thorpe-Taylor OL
  • Rayshon Luke RB
San Diego State
Out
  • DJ Overstreet RB
  • Dalesean Staley DB
  • Jack Ellis TE
  • Luke Williams SP
Doubtful
  • Javari Nash ILB
  • Josiah Lucas RB
  • Max Garrison DB
  • Nate Acevedo WR
  • Tano Letuli ILB
Questionable
  • Stone Saunders QB
  • Cam Cooper ILB
  • Dean Harrington ILB
  • Derek Stevenson WR
  • Donovan Brown WR
  • Javion Kinnard RB
  • Jeremiah Lewis ILB
  • Joe Borjon OL
  • Josh Hunter DB
  • Kalan Ellis OL
  • Lucky Sutton RB
  • Mikey Watkins OL
  • Ryan Wolfer TE
Probable

Chase Shumate (DB), Djibril Rahman (OLB), Dominic Coelho (OLB), Josiah Cox (DB), Kai Wallin (OLB), Sione Hala (ILB)

No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 10:03 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Betting form, 2026

Fresno State LWWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-1 83%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road2-1 67%Small sample0-3 0% overSmall sample
As favorite3-0 100%Small sample
Last 55-0 100%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

San Diego State LLLLWL

ATSTotals
All games1-5 17%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As underdog1-3 25%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 25, 2025SDSU 23, FRES 0SDSU -3.5SDSU covered45.5Under
Nov 25, 2023FRES 18, SDSU 33FRES -4.5SDSU covered47Over
Oct 29, 2022SDSU 28, FRES 32FRES -11SDSU covered44.5Over
Oct 30, 2021FRES 30, SDSU 20FRES -2.5FRES covered44Over
Nov 15, 2019FRES 7, SDSU 17SDSU -2.5SDSU covered43.5Under

Fresno State 1-4 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

FRESSDSU
4-2Record2-4
5-1Against the spread1-5
3-3Over-under4-2
+8.1Avg cover margin-12.3
28.3Points per game22.8
20.0Points allowed35.0
5.88Yards per play4.48
363.7Yards per game277.7
4.50Rush yards per carry3.90
64.8Completion %54.4
36.6Third down %26.9
+10Turnover margin+1
9Sacks allowed8
32.0Penalty yards per game47.7

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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