Source: DraftKings.
SDSU 16, TOL 41. TOL covered by 22.5, over by 6.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
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No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  San Diego St |  Toledo |
|---|---|---|
 Northern Illinois | W 6-3 away +3 · -1.5 Covered | W 42-3 home +39 · -15.5 Covered |
 Washington St | L 13-36 away -23 · +2.5 Didn't cover | L 7-28 away -21 · -1.5 Didn't cover |
Against 2 common opponents: San Diego St lost by 10.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Toledo won by 9.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
San Diego State LLLLWL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-5 17%Small sample | 4-2 67% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-3 0%Small sample | 2-1 67% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-3 25%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Toledo PWLWLL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 40%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-2 50%Small sample | 3-1 75% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-3 40%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | SDSU 16, TOL 41 | TOL -2.5 | TOL covered | 50.5 | Over |
| Sep 24, 2022 | TOL 14, SDSU 17 | TOL -2.5 | SDSU covered | 44.5 | Under |
San Diego State 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2022-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 SDSU | TOL  | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-2 |
| 1-5 | Against the spread | 2-3-1 |
| 4-2 | Over-under | 5-1 |
| -12.3 | Avg cover margin | -0.6 |
| 22.8 | Points per game | 36.7 |
| 35.0 | Points allowed | 25.2 |
| 4.48 | Yards per play | 6.61 |
| 277.7 | Yards per game | 454.8 |
| 3.90 | Rush yards per carry | 5.10 |
| 54.4 | Completion % | 63.1 |
| 26.9 | Third down % | 43.4 |
| +1 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 8 | Sacks allowed | 3 |
| 47.7 | Penalty yards per game | 69.0 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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