CFB · 2026 betting profile
Texas State Bobcats
3-3 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #61 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, 7:30 PMCBSSN
vs
Utah State Aggies
Utah State AggiesLineNot posted yet
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +2.7 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +12.6 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -17.2 |
| Favorite | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.7 |
| Underdog | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -22.5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +5.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +1.1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +7.7 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +8.3 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +10.8 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +9.1 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vs Colorado State | W 66-27 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 69.5 | O +23.5 |
| Oct 3 | at San Diego State | L 29-31 | -10 | L -12 | 57.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 63-10 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 66.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Texas | W 49-35 | -3 | W +11 | 62.5 | O +21.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs UTSA | L 26-31 | -1.5 | L -6.5 | 65.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Texas | L 7-59 | +29.5 | L -22.5 | 61.5 | O +4.5 |
Close is Texas State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 6-6-1 | 50% | +2.5 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -3.6 |
| 2020 | 2-10 | 6-5-1 | 55% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 3-7-2 | 30% | Small sample | 4-7 | 36% | -3.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.