Source: DraftKings.
USM 34, TROY 55. TROY covered by 11.5, over by 37.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Southern Miss |  Troy |
|---|---|---|
 Arkansas St | W 27-21 away +6 · -6.5 Didn't cover | L 10-23 home -13 · -7.5 Didn't cover |
 Jacksonville St | W 42-25 home +17 · -5.5 Covered | L 13-17 neutral -4 · +3 Didn't cover |
 Louisiana | W 22-10 away +12 · -4.5 Covered | W 35-23 home +12 · -7.5 Covered |
 South Alabama | L 35-42 away -7 · -2.5 Didn't cover | W 31-24 home +7 · +2.5 Covered |
 Texas St | L 14-41 home -27 · -3.5 Didn't cover | W 48-41 away +7 · +7.5 Covered |
 UL Monroe | W 49-21 home +28 · -13.5 Covered | W 37-14 away +23 · -5.5 Covered |
Against 6 common opponents: Southern Miss won by 4.8 on average, 3-3 against the spread. Troy won by 5.3 on average, 4-2 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Southern Miss WLLWL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 40%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-3 25%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Troy LLWLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 40%Small sample | 1-4 20% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | USM 34, TROY 55 | TROY -9.5 | TROY covered | 51.5 | Over |
| Nov 29, 2025 | TROY 28, USM 18 | USM -6.5 | TROY covered | 50.5 | Under |
| Nov 30, 2024 | USM 20, TROY 52 | TROY -17.5 | TROY covered | 48.5 | Over |
| Nov 25, 2023 | TROY 35, USM 17 | TROY -17 | TROY covered | 48 | Over |
| Oct 8, 2022 | USM 10, TROY 27 | TROY -7 | TROY covered | 44 | Under |
| Sep 18, 2021 | TROY 21, USM 9 | TROY -11 | TROY covered | 49.5 | Under |
| Sep 14, 2019 | USM 47, TROY 42 | TROY -3 | USM covered | 49 | Over |
Southern Miss 1-6 ATS in these meetings. 7 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 USM | TROY  | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | Against the spread | 2-3 |
| 3-2 | Over-under | 1-4 |
| +0.3 | Avg cover margin | +0.2 |
| 26.4 | Points per game | 28.0 |
| 34.6 | Points allowed | 24.0 |
| 5.77 | Yards per play | 5.72 |
| 415.6 | Yards per game | 429.8 |
| 4.20 | Rush yards per carry | 5.20 |
| 61.5 | Completion % | 56.1 |
| 32.3 | Third down % | 38.4 |
| +0 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 11 | Sacks allowed | 10 |
| 58.8 | Penalty yards per game | 79.4 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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