CFB · 2026 betting profile
North Texas Mean Green
4-2 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #54 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, 3:30 PMCBSSN
at
Navy Midshipmen
Navy MidshipmenLineNot posted yet
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +9.1 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +21.3 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.2 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7 |
| Underdog | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +11.2 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +5.2 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +11 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +10.2 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +12.3 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Road | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +21.5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +17 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +10 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +12.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Charlotte | W 50-10 | -27.5 | W +12.5 | 58.5 | O +1.5 |
| Oct 1 | at Tulsa | W 45-44 | -3 | L -2 | 56.5 | O +32.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Houston Christian Huskies | W 63-14 | -38.5 | W +10.5 | 60.5 | O +16.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Texas State | L 35-49 | +3 | L -11 | 62.5 | O +21.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs UNLV | W 44-6 | +3 | W +41 | 58.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Indiana | L 16-52 | +39.5 | W +3.5 | 57.5 | O +10.5 |
Close is North Texas's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | +9.1 |
| 2025 | 12-2 | 10-4 | 71% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +6.9 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +2.4 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 7-4-1 | 64% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 7-7 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 9-5 | 64% | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 4-9 | 31% | +5.3 |
| 2020 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 30% | Small sample | 7-3 | 70% | -7.8 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -6.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.