CFB · 2026 betting profile
UNLV Rebels
4-2 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 1-5 over-under · #68 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMCBSSN
at
Air Force Falcons
Air Force FalconsSpreadUNLV +1.5
Total47.5
Moneyline-110
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.7 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -4.7 |
| Favorite | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -3.6 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +9 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -7.6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +0.3 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-5 | 17% | Small sample | -9.7 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.5 |
| Road | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -13.8 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -28 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -10.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs North Dakota State | W 13-7 | +3 | W +9 | 47.5 | U -27.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs California | W 39-31 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 51.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Akron | W 38-10 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 52.5 | U -4.5 |
| Sep 12 | at North Texas | L 6-44 | -3 | L -41 | 58.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Hawai'i | W 21-6 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 55.5 | U -28.5 |
| Aug 29 | vs Memphis | L 21-27 | -4.5 | L -10.5 | 55.5 | U -7.5 |
Close is UNLV's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 1-5 | 17% | -1.5 |
| 2025 | 10-4 | 7-7 | 50% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 11-3 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +4.6 |
| 2023 | 9-5 | 10-4 | 71% | Small sample | 9-5 | 64% | +6.4 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 5-6-1 | 46% | -1.9 |
| 2021 | 2-10 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +3.3 |
| 2020 | 0-6 | 1-4-1 | 20% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | -5.5 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.