Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PMESPN2ESPN UnlimitedWallace Wade Stadium
The number
Spread
UNC +3-109
DUKE -3-113
Open DUKE -3.5 moved 0.5
Fair, no vig: UNC +102 / DUKE -102 (hold 5.2%)
Best: UNC +3.5 -120 at Hard Rock Bet; DUKE -3 -108 at BetMGM
Total
Over 46.5-112
Under 46.5-109
Fair, no vig: O -101 / U +101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 46.5 -110 at Hard Rock Bet; U 46.5 -105 at DraftKings
Moneyline
UNC +130
DUKE -159
Fair, no vig: UNC +141 / DUKE -141 (hold 4.9%)
Best: UNC +135 at Caesars; DUKE -145 at theScore Bet
Updated Fri 4:10 PM ETConsensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (9)
Book
UNC
DUKE
Over
Under
UNC ML
DUKE ML
DraftKings
+3-110
-3-110
o46.5-115
u46.5-105
+130
-155
FanDuel
+3.5-122
-3.5+100
o46.5-110
u46.5-110
+130
-156
BetMGM
+3-110
-3-108
o46.5-112
u46.5-105
+130
-155
Caesars
+3-106
-3-115
o46.5-115
u46.5-105
+135
-159
theScore Bet
+3.5-130
-3.5+105
o46.5-110
u46.5-110
+125
-145
BetRivers
+3-109
-3-114
o46.5-113
u46.5-110
+128
-162
Hard Rock Bet
+3.5-120
-3.5+100
o46.5-110
u46.5-110
+130
-160
Bally Bet
+3-108
-3-113
o46.5-112
u46.5-109
+130
-162
betPARX
+3-108
-3-113
o46.5-112
u46.5-109
+130
-162
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: none (DUKE -3.5 to DUKE -3).
Sitting right on 3. A half point either way matters here.
DUKE line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.Total, game-week open to now.
Injury report
From the ACC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 2 hours before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report
North Carolina
Out
Jakob WeatherspoonDB
Jimmy-Phrisco Alo-SuliafuDL
Keeyun ChapmanWR
Tre MillerDB
Viliami MoalaDL
Vodney ClevelandDL
Doubtful
Ashton BlattLB
Kaleb CostDB
Questionable
Donovan Hoilette Jr.DL
Greg SmithDB
Isaiah JohnsonDL
Jordan HallOL
Jordan WashingtonTE
Mason HumphreyWR
Probable
Jaylen Harvey (DL), Peyton Waters (DB)
Duke
Out
Lawrence GardnerQB
Blake RohrerWR
Cosme SalasK
Elliott SchaperLB
Jamien LittleWR
Kai JacobowitzOL
Qeanu JohnsonWR
Reagan McCranieOL
Roman FinaOL
Questionable
Evan SmithCB
Matt CraycraftOL
Nate SheppardRB
No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 8 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Not enough picks yet. A split shows once 10 users pick this game. Add yours
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent
North Carolina
Duke
California
L 18-21away
-3 · +8.5 Covered
W 45-21away
+24 · -3.5 Covered
Clemson
L 10-38home
-28 · +15.5 Didn't cover
W 46-45away
+1 · +4.5 Covered
NC St
L 19-42away
-23 · +7 Didn't cover
W 45-33home
+12 · -3.5 Covered
Syracuse
W 27-10away
+17 · +1.5 Covered
W 38-3away
+35 · -3.5 Covered
Virginia
L 16-17home
-1 · +12.5 Covered
L 17-34home
-17 · -5.5 Didn't cover
-
W 27-20neutral
+7 · +3.5 Covered
Wake Forest
L 12-28away
-16 · +3.5 Didn't cover
W 49-32home
+17 · -2.5 Covered
Against 6 common opponents: North Carolina lost by 9.0 on average, 3-3 against the spread. Duke won by 11.3 on average, 6-1 against the spread.
What the public cappers like
Spread
1 North Carolina1 Duke
Duke -31
Stuckey*Line -3 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Posted Oct 16 1:13 PM ET · Flat record 41-28-1, +9.2u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
North Carolina -31
Dave Portnoy*Line -3 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
0 Over1 Under
Under 47.51
Tom FornelliLine 47.5 · Price -110 · No unit size given · Posted Oct 15 2:01 PM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
Date
Score
Close
ATS
Total
O-U
Nov 22, 2025
DUKE 32, UNC 25
DUKE -6.5
DUKE covered
50.5
Over
Sep 28, 2024
UNC 20, DUKE 21
UNC -1.5
DUKE covered
54.5
Under
Nov 11, 2023
DUKE 45, UNC 47
UNC -10.5
DUKE covered
53
Over
Oct 15, 2022
UNC 38, DUKE 35
UNC -7
DUKE covered
70
Over
Oct 2, 2021
DUKE 7, UNC 38
UNC -19.5
UNC covered
74.5
Under
Nov 7, 2020
UNC 56, DUKE 24
UNC -11.5
UNC covered
63.5
Over
Oct 26, 2019
DUKE 17, UNC 20
UNC -3
Push
49.5
Under
North Carolina 2-4 ATS in these meetings. 7 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
UNC
DUKE
3-2
Record
4-1
3-2
Against the spread
4-1
2-3
Over-under
3-2
+4.1
Avg cover margin
+7.4
23.4
Points per game
34.0
19.0
Points allowed
14.4
5.66
Yards per play
6.45
330.6
Yards per game
456.6
3.90
Rush yards per carry
5.60
59.4
Completion %
61.3
38.2
Third down %
47.1
+3
Turnover margin
+3
11
Sacks allowed
1
27.4
Penalty yards per game
75.2
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
The Friday Number
One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.
North Carolina
Duke
North Carolina
Duke
California
Clemson
NC St
Syracuse
Virginia
Wake Forest
