CFB · 2026 betting profile
Duke Blue Devils
4-1 straight up · 4-1 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #35 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
vs
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar HeelsSpreadDuke -3
Total46.5
Moneyline-159
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 3:30 PM
North Carolina3-2
Duke4-1+3-3o46.5u46.5+130-159DUKE -3.5moved 0.5 to UNCESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen DUKE -3.5 · moved 0.5 to UNCESPN2ESPN UnlimitedFri Oct 23, 7 PMDuke4-1
Virginia4-2No line yet–ESPNESPN UnlimitedESPNESPN Unlimited
North Carolina3-2Duke4-1+3-3o46.5u46.5+130-159DUKE -3.5moved 0.5 to UNCESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen DUKE -3.5 · moved 0.5 to UNCESPN2ESPN UnlimitedFri Oct 23, 7 PMDuke4-1Virginia4-2No line yet–ESPNESPN UnlimitedESPNESPN UnlimitedOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.4 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +11.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Favorite | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +6.8 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +8.7 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +7.4 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -3.9 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -11.2 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +7 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -5.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -3.9 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Georgia Tech | L 25-28 | -4.5 | L -7.5 | 45.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs William & Mary Tribe | W 62-7 | -43.5 | W +11.5 | 61.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Stanford | W 35-7 | -9.5 | W +18.5 | 51.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Illinois | W 31-27 | +6 | W +10 | 51.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tulane | W 17-3 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 51.5 | U -31.5 |
Close is Duke's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +7.4 |
| 2025 | 9-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 10-4 | 71% | +1 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 67% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 7-5-1 | 58% | +4.3 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 5-7-1 | 42% | +8.7 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -10.1 |
| 2020 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 7-4 | 64% | -8.7 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 5-6-1 | 46% | Small sample | 6-5-1 | 55% | -3.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.