
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Boise State Broncos
5-1 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #15 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, 6 PMUSA Network
at
Washington State Cougars
LineNot posted yet
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +4.3 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.2 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +10.8 |
| Favorite | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +1.7 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +17.5 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -1 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +7 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +1.7 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +12.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | PK |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +3.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Fresno State | W 38-31 | -8.5 | L -1.5 | 48.5 | O +20.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Utah State | W 37-18 | -19.5 | L -0.5 | 50.5 | O +4.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Western Michigan | W 32-7 | -8.5 | W +16.5 | 50.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs South Dakota Coyotes | W 38-24 | -28.5 | L -14.5 | 61.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Memphis | W 38-20 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 54.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Oregon | L 27-34 | +24.5 | W +17.5 | 53.5 | O +7.5 |
Close is Boise State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 9-5 | 9-5 | 64% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | -3.2 |
| 2024 | 12-2 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +1 |
| 2023 | 8-6 | 7-6-1 | 54% | Small sample | 10-4 | 71% | +2.8 |
| 2022 | 10-4 | 6-7-1 | 46% | Small sample | 7-7 | 50% | -2.2 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | +4 |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 3-4 | 43% | Small sample | 5-2 | 71% | -3.1 |
| 2019 | 12-2 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +0.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.