
Western Michigan Broncos
4-2 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #62 of 138 in our ratings
Upcoming lines
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -1.1 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -9.8 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -4 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -5.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -1.1 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Kent State | W 38-7 | -13.5 | W +17.5 | 43.5 | O +1.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Buffalo | W 20-17 | -13.5 | L -10.5 | 46.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Boise State | L 7-32 | +8.5 | L -16.5 | 50.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Rice | W 28-21 | -8.5 | L -1.5 | 43.5 | O +5.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Monmouth Hawks | W 49-14 | -29.5 | W +5.5 | 54.5 | O +8.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Michigan | L 12-13 | +27.5 | W +26.5 | 50.5 | U -25.5 |
Close is Western Michigan's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | +3.5 |
| 2025 | 10-4 | 11-3 | 79% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +8.9 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -2.6 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | -1.6 |
| 2021 | 8-5 | 6-6-1 | 50% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -0.8 |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 4-2 | 67% | -2.1 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 5-7-1 | 42% | Small sample | 3-9-1 | 25% | +0.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.