Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-4 straight up · 1-4 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #21 of 32 in our ratings
Pittsburgh SteelersUpcoming lines
Pittsburgh3-2
Tampa Bay1-4-2.5+2.5o39u39-145+120PIT -2.5CBSParamount+Open PIT -2.5CBSParamount+Sun Oct 25, 1 PMTampa Bay1-4
Carolina2-2+2.5-2.5o43.5u43.5+128-152–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX OneOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -7.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +7 |
| Favorite | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -10.5 |
| Underdog | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +4.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -1.5 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.1 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | PK |
| Non-conference | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.1 |
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | at Dallas | W 24-16 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 49.5 | U -9.5 |
| Oct 4 | vs Green Bay | L 14-17 | +2.5 | L -0.5 | 38.5 | U -7.5 |
| Sep 27 | vs Minnesota | L 16-23 | -1.5 | L -8.5 | 42.5 | U -3.5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Cleveland | L 19-23 | -8.5 | L -12.5 | 41.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 13 | at Cincinnati | L 27-33 | +3.5 | L -2.5 | 50.5 | O +9.5 |
Close is Tampa Bay's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | -1.5 |
| 2025 | 8-9 | 5-12 | 29% | Small sample | 8-9 | 47% | -2.6 |
| 2024 | 10-8 | 10-8 | 56% | Small sample | 12-6 | 67% | +4.6 |
| 2023 | 10-9 | 12-7 | 63% | Small sample | 7-12 | 37% | +4.3 |
| 2022 | 8-10 | 4-13-1 | 24% | Small sample | 6-12 | 33% | -6.3 |
| 2021 | 14-5 | 10-9 | 53% | Small sample | 10-9 | 53% | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 15-5 | 12-8 | 60% | Could be luck | 11-9 | 55% | +5.5 |
| 2019 | 7-9 | 5-11 | 31% | Small sample | 10-6 | 62% | +1.3 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.