Source: DraftKings.
TB 24, DAL 16. TB covered by 16.5, under by 9.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Buccaneers |  Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
 Cardinals | W 20-17 home +3 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 17-27 home -10 · -3.5 Didn't cover |
 Panthers | L 20-23 away -3 · -3 Didn't cover | L 27-30 away -3 · -2.5 Didn't cover |
W 16-14 home +2 · -3 Didn't cover | - | |
 Lions | L 9-24 away -15 · +6.5 Didn't cover | L 30-44 away -14 · +3.5 Didn't cover |
 Jets | W 29-27 home +2 · -6.5 Didn't cover | W 37-22 away +15 · +2.5 Covered |
 Eagles | L 25-31 home -6 · +3.5 Didn't cover | L 20-24 away -4 · +7.5 Covered |
| - | W 24-21 home +3 · +2.5 Covered |
Against 5 common opponents: Buccaneers lost by 2.8 on average, 0-6 against the spread. Cowboys lost by 2.2 on average, 3-3 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Tampa Bay LLLLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 20%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 20%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Dallas LWPWL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-2-1 50%Small sample | 4-1 80% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-2 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 50%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | TB 24, DAL 16 | DAL -8.5 | TB covered | 49.5 | Under |
| Dec 22, 2024 | TB 24, DAL 26 | TB -4.5 | DAL covered | 47.5 | Over |
| Jan 16, 2023 | DAL 31, TB 14 | DAL -3 | DAL covered | 45.5 | Under |
| Sep 11, 2022 | TB 19, DAL 3 | TB -2.5 | TB covered | 49.5 | Under |
| Sep 9, 2021 | DAL 29, TB 31 | TB -9.5 | DAL covered | 52.5 | Over |
Tampa Bay 2-3 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2021-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
 TB | DAL  | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 2-3 |
| 1-4 | Against the spread | 2-2-1 |
| 2-3 | Over-under | 4-1 |
| -1.5 | Avg cover margin | -1.6 |
| 20.0 | Points per game | 27.6 |
| 22.4 | Points allowed | 27.2 |
| 5.32 | Yards per play | 5.87 |
| 323.4 | Yards per game | 357.8 |
| 4.90 | Rush yards per carry | 3.80 |
| 65.6 | Completion % | 67.2 |
| 38.2 | Third down % | 49.2 |
| +0 | Turnover margin | -2 |
| 17 | Sacks allowed | 6 |
| 58.2 | Penalty yards per game | 62.8 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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