NFL · 2026 betting profile

Cincinnati Bengals

3-2 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #9 of 32 in our ratings

Against the spread

Split	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	Avg vs spread
All games	2-3	40%	Small sample	+1
Home	1-1	50%	Small sample	-2.5
Road	1-2	33%	Small sample	+3.3
Favorite	1-3	25%	Small sample	-3
Underdog	1-0	100%	Small sample	+17
Non-conference	2-3	40%	Small sample	+1
Last 5	2-3	40%	Small sample	+1

5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

Split	O-U	Over %	Real or luck?	Avg vs total
All games	3-2	60%	Small sample	+0.3
Home	1-1	50%	Small sample	-1.5
Road	2-1	67%	Small sample	+1.5
Non-conference	3-2	60%	Small sample	+0.3
Last 5	3-2	60%	Small sample	+0.3

Date	Opponent	Result	Close	ATS	Total	O-U
Oct 11	at Miami	W 31-24	-7.5	L -0.5	45.5	O +9.5
Oct 4	vs Jacksonville	L 17-22	-2.5	L -7.5	51.5	U -12.5
Sep 27	at Pittsburgh	L 27-30	-3.5	L -6.5	42.5	O +14.5
Sep 20	at Houston	W 20-6	+3	W +17	45.5	U -19.5
Sep 13	vs Tampa Bay	W 33-27	-3.5	W +2.5	50.5	O +9.5

Close is Cincinnati's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season	SU	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	O-U	Over %	Avg vs spread
2026	3-2	2-3	40%	Small sample	3-2	60%	+1
2025	6-11	8-9	47%	Small sample	9-8	53%	-2.4
2024	9-8	10-7	59%	Small sample	11-6	65%	-1.1
2023	9-8	7-8-2	47%	Small sample	10-7	59%	-1.7
2022	14-5	13-6	68%	Small sample	7-11-1	39%	+2.6
2021	13-8	14-7	67%	Could be luck	8-12-1	40%	+4.4
2020	4-11	10-6	62%	Small sample	8-8	50%	-0.4
2019	2-14	7-9	44%	Small sample	9-7	56%	-2.8

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.