Northwestern Wildcats
4-1 straight up · 4-1 ATS · 5-0 over-under · #16 of 138 in our ratings
Michigan State SpartansUpcoming lines
25Northwestern4-1
Michigan State2-4-7+7o49.5u49.5-300+240NU -10.5moved 3.5 to MSUPeacockOpen NU -10.5 · moved 3.5 to MSUPeacockSat Oct 24, 12 PM
Rutgers1-425Northwestern4-1No line yet–PeacockPeacockOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +13.5 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +13.2 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.5 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +9.7 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +19.2 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +19.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +9.7 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +13.5 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.3 |
| Home | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.3 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Ball State | W 45-14 | -34.5 | L -3.5 | 53.5 | O +5.5 |
| Oct 2 | vs Penn State | W 34-13 | +3 | W +24 | 46.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 25 | at Indiana | L 23-29 | +20.5 | W +14.5 | 49.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Colorado | W 41-7 | -3.5 | W +30.5 | 47.5 | O +0.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits | W 34-18 | -14 | W +2 | 49.5 | O +2.5 |
Close is Northwestern's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | 5-0 | 100% | +13.5 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +5 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 7-4 | 64% | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +15.3 |
| 2022 | 1-11 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -3.8 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -8.1 |
| 2020 | 7-2 | 7-1-1 | 88% | Small sample | 2-7 | 22% | +5.8 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -2.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.