
Ball State Cardinals
1-5 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #130 of 138 in our ratings
Upcoming lines
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +8 |
| Road | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -7.8 |
| Favorite | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10.5 |
| Underdog | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.1 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -2.5 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +8 |
| Road | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1 |
| Non-conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +7.8 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +5.1 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Northwestern | L 14-45 | +34.5 | W +3.5 | 53.5 | O +5.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Toledo | L 24-39 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 52.5 | O +10.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Kent State | L 13-26 | +2.5 | L -10.5 | 51.5 | U -12.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Liberty | L 15-51 | +14.5 | L -21.5 | 49.5 | O +16.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Stony Brook Seawolves | W 41-17 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 52.5 | O +5.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Ohio State | L 3-56 | +50.5 | L -2.5 | 55.5 | O +3.5 |
Close is Ball State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 7-4 | 64% | Small sample | 8-3 | 73% | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 7-4-1 | 64% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 4-9 | 31% | -4.2 |
| 2020 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 62% | Small sample | 3-5 | 38% | +9.5 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +4.6 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.