OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

Ball State Cardinals

1-5 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #130 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 12 PMESPN+
atBowling Green Falcons
SpreadBall State +6.5
Total47.5
Moneyline+190
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games3-350%Small sample-2.5
Home2-0100%Small sample+8
Road1-325%Small sample-7.8
Favorite1-0100%Small sample+10.5
Underdog2-340%Small sample-5.1
Conference1-150%Small sample-2.5
Non-conference2-250%Small sample-2.5
Last 53-260%Small sample-2.5

6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games5-183%Small sample+4.8
Home2-0100%Small sample+8
Road3-175%Small sample+3.2
Conference1-150%Small sample-1
Non-conference4-0100%Small sample+7.8
Last 54-180%Small sample+5.1

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10at NorthwesternL 14-45+34.5W +3.553.5O +5.5
Oct 3vs ToledoL 24-39+20.5W +5.552.5O +10.5
Sep 26at Kent StateL 13-26+2.5L -10.551.5U -12.5
Sep 19at LibertyL 15-51+14.5L -21.549.5O +16.5
Sep 12vs Stony Brook SeawolvesW 41-17-13.5W +10.552.5O +5.5
Sep 5at Ohio StateL 3-56+50.5L -2.555.5O +3.5

Close is Ball State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20261-53-350%Small sample5-183%-2.5
20254-86-650%Small sample5-742%-1.5
20243-97-464%Small sample8-373%+0.2
20234-87-4-164%Small sample4-833%+0.5
20225-76-650%Small sample3-925%+1.1
20216-74-931%Small sample4-931%-4.2
20207-15-362%Small sample3-538%+9.5
20195-77-558%Small sample7-558%+4.6

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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