
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Minnesota Golden Gophers
4-2 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #73 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, TBATV TBA
vs
17Iowa Hawkeyes
SpreadMinnesota +3.5
Total42.5
Moneyline+150
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -3.2 |
| Underdog | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -2.9 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +6 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Purdue | L 13-41 | -2.5 | L -30.5 | 48.5 | O +5.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Michigan | W 20-14 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 41.5 | U -7.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Washington | W 27-24 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 44.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Akron | W 41-7 | -22.5 | W +11.5 | 48.5 | U -0.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Mississippi State | L 13-38 | +1.5 | L -23.5 | 53.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 3 | vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 59-7 | -42.5 | W +9.5 | 52.5 | O +13.5 |
Close is Minnesota's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 8-5 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -2.7 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +6.2 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -5.8 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-6-1 | 50% | -5.7 |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +4 |
| 2020 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 57% | Small sample | 3-4 | 43% | -2.6 |
| 2019 | 11-2 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +4.3 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.