OfftheNumber
20
at
44
FinalESPNESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
FSU +4
LOU -4
Open –
Total
Over 60.5
Under 60.5

Source: DraftKings.

FSU 20, LOU 44. LOU covered by 20, over by 3.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on Louisville
Florida St 01 Louisville
Total1 capper on Over
Over 10 Under

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Florida St Louisville
SMU
L 24-27 home
-3 · +3 Push
W 41-31 home
+10 · -3 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Florida St lost by 3.0 on average, 0-0-1 against the spread. Louisville won by 10.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Florida St Louisville
Clemson
L 10-24 away
-14 · +1.5 Didn't cover
L 19-20 home
-1 · -2.5 Didn't cover
Miami
L 22-28 home
-6 · +2.5 Didn't cover
W 24-21 away
+3 · +10.5 Covered
Pittsburgh
L 31-34 home
-3 · -11.5 Didn't cover
W 34-27 away
+7 · -3.5 Covered
Virginia
L 38-46 away
-8 · -6.5 Didn't cover
L 27-30 home
-3 · -6.5 Didn't cover
Virginia Tech
W 34-14 home
+20 · -13.5 Covered
W 28-16 away
+12 · -10.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Florida St lost by 2.2 on average, 1-4 against the spread. Louisville won by 3.6 on average, 3-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Florida St1 Louisville
Louisville -4.51
Trent Attyah 3u*Line -4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 3u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 5:40 PM ET · Flat record 20-29-1, -10.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 60.51
Big Cat *Line 60.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 5:42 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Florida State LPWLWL

ATSTotals
All games2-3-1 40%Small sample2-4 33% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As underdog2-1-1 67%Small sample
Last 52-2-1 50%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Louisville WWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Home3-1 75%Small sample3-1 75% overSmall sample
As favorite3-2 60%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 9, 2026FSU 20, LOU 44LOU -4LOU covered60.5Over
Dec 2, 2023LOU 6, FSU 16LOU -1FSU covered45.5Under
Sep 16, 2022FSU 35, LOU 31FSU -2.5FSU covered57Over
Sep 25, 2021LOU 31, FSU 23FSU -1.5LOU covered61Under
Oct 24, 2020FSU 16, LOU 48LOU -5.5LOU covered62.5Over
Sep 21, 2019LOU 24, FSU 35FSU -6.5FSU covered58.5Over

Florida State 3-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

FSULOU
3-3Record3-3
2-3-1Against the spread4-2
2-4Over-under5-1
-2.5Avg cover margin+2.3
31.0Points per game39.5
25.3Points allowed27.7
6.08Yards per play7.57
409.5Yards per game494.5
4.80Rush yards per carry6.30
59.6Completion %69.6
42.3Third down %44.8
-2Turnover margin+7
16Sacks allowed11
59.3Penalty yards per game74.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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