OfftheNumber
4-1, 4-1 ATS
at
3-2, 4-1 ATS
Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PMAllegiant StadiumCBS

The number

Spread
BUF -5 -113
LV +5 -108
First seen Fri 1:55 PM BUF -5
Fair, no vig: BUF -102 / LV +102 (hold 5.0%)
Best: BUF -4.5 -110 at BetMGM; LV +5.5 -115 at FanDuel
Total
Over 53.5 -110
Under 53.5 -110
First seen Fri 1:55 PM 53.5
Fair, no vig: O -100 / U -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: O 53 -112 at BetRivers; U 53.5 -105 at DraftKings
Moneyline
BUF -240
LV +195
First seen Fri 1:55 PM LV +195
Fair, no vig: BUF -208 / LV +208 (hold 4.5%)
Best: BUF -225 at Fanatics; LV +200 at FanDuel

Updated Fri 1:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookBUFLVOverUnderBUF MLLV ML
DraftKings-5.5-102+5.5-118o53.5-115u53.5-105-230+190
FanDuel-5.5-105+5.5-115o53.5-110u53.5-110-245+200
BetMGM-4.5-110+4.5-108o53.5-108u53.5-110-235+195
Caesars-4.5-114+4.5-106o53.5-107u53.5-113-240+195
theScore Bet-4.5-115+4.5-105o53.5-110u53.5-110-240+200
BetRivers-5-113+5-108o53-112u53-109-250+200
Fanatics-4.5-115+4.5-105o53.5-110u53.5-110-225+185
Hard Rock Bet-5-110+5-110o53.5-110u53.5-110-240+195
Bally Bet-5-113+5-108o53-112u53-109-250+200
betPARX-5-113+5-108o53-112u53-109-250+200

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

-2-3-4-5-6-7-8key 3key 7First seen Fri 1:55 PMNow
BUF line, first number we saw to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
52535455First seen Fri 1:55 PMNow
Total, first number we saw to now.

Betting form, 2026

Buffalo WWWLW

ATSTotals
All games4-1 80%Small sample4-1 80% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite3-1 75%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Las Vegas WWWWL

ATSTotals
All games4-1 80%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog3-1 75%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Bills Raiders
Chargers
W 24-16 home
+8 · -7 Covered
W 26-14 away
+12 · +6.5 Covered
Patriots
L 26-29 home
-3 · -7 Didn't cover
L 17-45 away
-28 · +3.5 Didn't cover

Against 2 common opponents: Bills won by 2.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Raiders lost by 8.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
Opponent Bills Raiders
Browns
W 23-20 away
+3 · -10.5 Didn't cover
L 10-24 home
-14 · -3.5 Didn't cover
Broncos
L 30-33 away
-3 · +1.5 Didn't cover
L 7-10 away
-3 · +9.5 Covered
-
L 17-24 home
-7 · +8.5 Covered
Texans
L 19-23 away
-4 · -4.5 Didn't cover
L 21-23 away
-2 · +14.5 Covered
Jaguars
W 27-24 away
+3 · +1.5 Covered
L 29-30 home
-1 · +1.5 Covered
Chiefs
W 28-21 home
+7 · +2.5 Covered
L 0-31 away
-31 · +13.5 Didn't cover
-
W 14-12 home
+2 · +3.5 Covered
Patriots
L 20-23 home
-3 · -7.5 Didn't cover
W 20-13 away
+7 · +2.5 Covered
W 35-31 away
+4 · -2.5 Covered
-
Eagles
L 12-13 home
-1 · -3.5 Didn't cover
L 0-31 away
-31 · +12.5 Didn't cover

Against 7 common opponents: Bills won by 0.8 on average, 3-5 against the spread. Raiders lost by 8.9 on average, 6-3 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 17, 2023LV 10, BUF 38BUF -7.5BUF covered47Over
Oct 4, 2020BUF 30, LV 23BUF -3.5BUF covered52.5Over

Buffalo 2-0 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

BUFLV
4-1Record3-2
4-1Against the spread4-1
4-1Over-under3-2
+1.1Avg cover margin+3.4
32.8Points per game26.4
28.2Points allowed25.8
6.91Yards per play5.31
407.8Yards per game345.4
5.40Rush yards per carry3.00
65.9Completion %65.6
50.0Third down %39.4
-3Turnover margin+5
10Sacks allowed8
72.4Penalty yards per game44.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Bills1 Raiders
Raiders +5.51
Will Hill*Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:40 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Where to watch

OnCBS
Streams onAntennaParamount+ EssentialParamount+YouTube TV+2

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