Source: DraftKings.
PIT 3, NE 20. NE covered by 12.5, under by 18.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Steelers |  Patriots |
|---|---|---|
 Ravens | W 27-22 away +5 · +5.5 Covered | W 28-24 away +4 · +3.5 Covered |
W 26-24 home +2 · +4.5 Covered | - | |
 Bills | L 7-26 home -19 · +3 Didn't cover | W 23-20 away +3 · +7.5 Covered |
| - | L 31-35 home -4 · +2.5 Didn't cover | |
 Bengals | L 31-33 away -2 · -5.5 Didn't cover | W 26-20 away +6 · -7.5 Didn't cover |
W 34-12 home +22 · -5.5 Covered | - | |
 Browns | W 23-9 home +14 · -6.5 Covered | W 32-13 home +19 · -6.5 Covered |
L 6-13 away -7 · -3.5 Didn't cover | - | |
 Texans | L 6-30 home -24 · +3 Didn't cover | W 28-16 home +12 · -3 Covered |
 Chargers | L 10-25 away -15 · +3.5 Didn't cover | W 16-3 home +13 · -3.5 Covered |
 Dolphins | W 28-15 home +13 · -3 Covered | W 33-27 away +6 · +2.5 Covered |
| - | W 38-10 home +28 · -14.5 Covered | |
 Jets | W 34-32 away +2 · -2.5 Didn't cover | W 27-14 home +13 · -12.5 Covered |
| - | W 42-10 away +32 · -12.5 Covered | |
 Seahawks | L 17-31 home -14 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 13-29 neutral -16 · +4.5 Didn't cover |
Against 9 common opponents: Steelers lost by 1.9 on average, 5-7 against the spread. Patriots won by 9.7 on average, 9-3 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Pittsburgh WLWLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 60%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-2 0%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-1 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
New England PWLWW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-1-1 75%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-0 100%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-0 100%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 75%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | PIT 3, NE 20 | NE -4.5 | NE covered | 41.5 | Under |
| Sep 21, 2025 | PIT 21, NE 14 | PIT -1.5 | PIT covered | 44.5 | Under |
| Dec 7, 2023 | NE 21, PIT 18 | PIT -6 | NE covered | 30 | Over |
| Sep 18, 2022 | NE 17, PIT 14 | NE -3 | Push | 40 | Under |
| Sep 8, 2019 | PIT 3, NE 33 | NE -5.5 | NE covered | 40 | Under |
Pittsburgh 1-3 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
 PIT | NE  | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-2 |
| 3-2 | Against the spread | 3-1-1 |
| 3-2 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| -0.4 | Avg cover margin | +4.2 |
| 22.2 | Points per game | 22.0 |
| 21.8 | Points allowed | 18.8 |
| 5.65 | Yards per play | 5.99 |
| 348.0 | Yards per game | 382.0 |
| 4.70 | Rush yards per carry | 4.20 |
| 59.1 | Completion % | 65.6 |
| 32.8 | Third down % | 37.5 |
| +3 | Turnover margin | -3 |
| 14 | Sacks allowed | 11 |
| 49.6 | Penalty yards per game | 60.0 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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