CFB · 2026 betting profile
Tennessee Volunteers
5-1 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 1-5 over-under · #18 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMABCESPN Unlimited
vs
6Alabama Crimson Tide
6Alabama Crimson TideSpreadTennessee +7.5
Total50.5
Moneyline+250
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 3:30 PM
6Alabama5-1
14Tennessee5-1-7.5+7.5o50.5u50.5-325+250ALA -7.5ABCESPN UnlimitedOpen ALA -7.5ABCESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 3:30 PM14Tennessee5-1
South Carolina3-3-1.5+1.5o51.5u51.5-118-102–TV TBATV TBA
6Alabama5-114Tennessee5-1-7.5+7.5o50.5u50.5-325+250ALA -7.5ABCESPN UnlimitedOpen ALA -7.5ABCESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 3:30 PM14Tennessee5-1South Carolina3-3-1.5+1.5o51.5u51.5-118-102–TV TBATV TBAOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +0.6 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +0.4 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1 |
| Favorite | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | PK |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +1.2 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-5 | 17% | Small sample | -7 |
| Home | 0-4 | 0% | Small sample | -11.2 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Conference | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -14.8 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +0.8 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -8.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Arkansas | W 24-17 | -13.5 | L -6.5 | 51.5 | U -10.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Auburn | W 24-14 | -6 | W +4 | 54.5 | U -16.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Texas | L 17-20 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 54.5 | U -17.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Kennesaw State | W 42-9 | -35.5 | L -2.5 | 60.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Georgia Tech | W 45-24 | -12.5 | W +8.5 | 55.5 | O +13.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Furman Paladins | W 56-9 | -49.5 | L -2.5 | 66.5 | U -1.5 |
Close is Tennessee's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 1-5 | 17% | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 8-5 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -1.3 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -2 |
| 2022 | 11-2 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +8.9 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 10-3 | 77% | +3.6 |
| 2020 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 30% | Small sample | 3-7 | 30% | -5 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 4-9 | 31% | +1.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.