OfftheNumber
4-1, 1-4 ATS
20
at
5-1, 3-3 ATS
17
FinalABCESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
TEX -5.5
TENN +5.5
Open –
Total
Over 54.5
Under 54.5

Source: DraftKings.

TEX 20, TENN 17. TENN covered by 2.5, under by 17.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 5 on Texas
Texas 32 Tennessee
Total1 capper on Under
Over 01 Under
MoneylineSplit 2-2
Texas 22 Tennessee

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
Opponent Texas Tennessee
Arkansas
W 52-37 home
+15 · -10.5 Covered
W 34-31 home
+3 · -10.5 Didn't cover
Florida
L 21-29 away
-8 · -4.5 Didn't cover
W 31-11 away
+20 · -3.5 Covered
Georgia
L 10-35 away
-25 · +3.5 Didn't cover
L 41-44 home
-3 · +3.5 Covered
Kentucky
W 16-13 away
+3 · -13.5 Didn't cover
W 56-34 away
+22 · -7.5 Covered
Mississippi St
W 45-38 away
+7 · -8.5 Didn't cover
W 41-34 away
+7 · -7.5 Didn't cover
Oklahoma
W 23-6 neutral
+17 · -2.5 Covered
L 27-33 home
-6 · -2.5 Didn't cover
Vanderbilt
W 34-31 home
+3 · -3.5 Didn't cover
L 24-45 home
-21 · -2.5 Didn't cover

Against 7 common opponents: Texas won by 1.7 on average, 2-5 against the spread. Tennessee won by 3.1 on average, 3-4 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
3 Texas2 Tennessee
Texas +4.53
Trent Attyah 5u*Line +4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 5u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 9:58 AM ET · Flat record 20-29-1, -10.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line +4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postTaylor Lewan 4u*Line +4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 4u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 23 6:45 PM ET · Flat record 8-9, -0.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Tennessee +4.52
Rico Bosco *Line +4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original postBig Cat *Line +4.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
0 Over1 Under
Under 55.51
Josh Pate 4u*Line 55.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 4u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 23 6:45 PM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Tennessee, Desmond Howard on Texas, Pat McAfee on Tennessee, Nick Saban on Texas

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Texas WLLLL

ATSTotals
All games1-4 20%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Road0-1 0%Small sample0-1 0% overSmall sample
As favorite1-4 20%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Tennessee LWLWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample1-5 17% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample0-4 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-0 100%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 26, 2026TEX 20, TENN 17TEX -5.5TENN covered54.5Under

Texas 0-1 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

TEXTENN
4-1Record5-1
1-4Against the spread3-3
2-3Over-under1-5
+0.5Avg cover margin+0.6
31.4Points per game34.7
16.0Points allowed15.5
5.25Yards per play5.77
379.2Yards per game414.8
3.70Rush yards per carry5.20
63.9Completion %62.7
44.6Third down %35.4
+1Turnover margin+9
12Sacks allowed17
62.2Penalty yards per game57.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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