CFB · 2026 betting profile
Pittsburgh Panthers
5-1 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 2-4 over-under · #32 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 12 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
at
Boston College Eagles
Boston College EaglesSpreadPittsburgh -6.5
Total42.5
Moneyline-255
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 12 PM
Pittsburgh5-1
Boston College2-3-6.5+6.5o42.5u42.5-255+205PITT -6moved 0.5 to PITTESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen PITT -6 · moved 0.5 to PITTESPN2ESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PMPittsburgh5-1
3Miami5-0+23.5-23.5o53.5u53.5+1300-2800–TV TBATV TBA
Pittsburgh5-1Boston College2-3-6.5+6.5o42.5u42.5-255+205PITT -6moved 0.5 to PITTESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen PITT -6 · moved 0.5 to PITTESPN2ESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PMPittsburgh5-13Miami5-0+23.5-23.5o53.5u53.5+1300-2800–TV TBATV TBAOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +5 |
| Home | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.3 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Favorite | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.3 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +10.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +0.3 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -3.7 |
| Home | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -7.3 |
| Road | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -9.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs North Carolina | L 17-21 | -3.5 | L -7.5 | 47.5 | U -9.5 |
| Oct 2 | at Virginia Tech | W 35-33 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 53.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Bucknell Bison | W 59-0 | -54.5 | W +4.5 | 63.5 | U -4.5 |
| Sep 17 | vs Syracuse | W 27-13 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 51.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs UCF | W 12-7 | -7.5 | L -2.5 | 55.5 | U -36.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Miami (OH) | W 59-14 | -16.5 | W +28.5 | 47.5 | O +25.5 |
Close is Pittsburgh's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | +5 |
| 2025 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | -6.4 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 9-3-1 | 75% | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 11-3 | 10-4 | 71% | Small sample | 8-6 | 57% | +6.4 |
| 2020 | 6-5 | 5-6 | 46% | Small sample | 8-3 | 73% | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 6-6-1 | 50% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -4.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.