OfftheNumber
Sat Oct 17 · 7 PMCBSSNFargodome

The number

Spread
NEV +14.5 -108
NDSU -14.5 -112
Open NDSU -15.5 moved 1
Fair, no vig: NEV +102 / NDSU -102 (hold 4.8%)
Best: NEV +15 -110 at BetMGM; NDSU -14.5 -110 at theScore Bet
Total
Over 42.5 -112
Under 42.5 -110
Fair, no vig: O -101 / U +101 (hold 5.2%)
Best: O 41.5 -115 at theScore Bet; U 42.5 -108 at DraftKings
Moneyline
NEV +525
NDSU -835
Fair, no vig: NEV +558 / NDSU -558 (hold 5.3%)
Best: NEV +570 at FanDuel; NDSU -700 at DraftKings

Updated Fri 3 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookNEVNDSUOverUnderNEV MLNDSU ML
DraftKings+14.5-108-14.5-112o42.5-112u42.5-108+500-700
FanDuel+14.5-106-14.5-114o42.5-110u42.5-110+570-850
BetMGM+15-110-15-108o42.5-108u42.5-110+525-700
Caesars+14.5-106-14.5-114o42.5-109u42.5-110+500-750
theScore Bet+14.5-110-14.5-110o41.5-115u41.5-105+500-800
BetRivers+14.5-110-14.5-113o42.5-114u42.5-109+525-835
Hard Rock Bet+14.5-110-14.5-110o42.5-110u42.5-110+525-850
Bally Bet+14.5-108-14.5-112o42.5-112u42.5-108+525-835
betPARX+14.5-108-14.5-112o42.5-112u42.5-108+525-835

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (NDSU -15.5 to NDSU -14.5).

-13-14-15-16-17key 14OpenNow
NDSU line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
41424344OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the Mountain West availability report (Initial Report). Posted Thu 5:40 PM ET. First report a couple days out, then a final report before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Nevada
Out
  • Bishop Turner DB
  • Cooper Wilson DB
  • DJ Asiasi TE
  • Jake Silverman LB
  • Zavien Abercrombie CB
Questionable
  • Carter Jones QB
North Dakota State
Out
  • Alijah Wayne DT
  • Ben Schepp S
  • Braylon Toliver RB
  • Carter Appl LB
  • Cash Danner TE
  • Drake Schlosser WR
  • Earl Brown OL
  • Kye Schlichting WR
  • Noah Nelson TE
  • Truman Griffith DE
  • Tucker Thieneman OL
Questionable
  • Cortez LeGrant RB
  • DJ Scott RB
  • DJ Voltz CB
  • Kaden Zenzen TE

No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 5:40 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Nevada North Dakota St
Air Force
L 33-36 home
-3 · +4.5 Covered
W 38-32 away
+6 · -1.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Nevada lost by 3.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. North Dakota St won by 6.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Nevada WLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As underdog2-1 67%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

North Dakota State WLWLWL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample1-5 17% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample0-3 0% overSmall sample
As favorite3-3 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

These two haven't met since 2019 in our data.

Side by side

NEVNDSU
2-3Record5-1
3-2Against the spread3-3
2-3Over-under1-5
+5.2Avg cover margin+2.8
27.8Points per game29.2
22.0Points allowed10.3
5.71Yards per play5.54
380.4Yards per game364.8
5.40Rush yards per carry4.30
56.9Completion %63.2
35.9Third down %41.6
-2Turnover margin+9
7Sacks allowed9
57.0Penalty yards per game59.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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