OfftheNumber
5-1, 3-3 ATS
26
at
28
FinalFOXFOX One

Closing number

Spread
HOU +7.5
TTU -7.5
Open –
Total
Over 52.5
Under 52.5

Source: DraftKings.

HOU 26, TTU 28. HOU covered by 5.5, over by 1.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread2 of 3 on Houston
Houston 21 Texas Tech
Total3 of 3 on Under
Over 03 Under

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Houston Texas Tech
Oregon St
W 33-20 home
+13 · -21 Didn't cover
W 35-24 away
+11 · -25.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Houston won by 13.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Texas Tech won by 11.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Houston Texas Tech
Arizona St
W 24-16 away
+8 · +7.5 Covered
L 22-26 away
-4 · -8.5 Didn't cover
Oklahoma St
W 39-17 away
+22 · -14.5 Covered
W 42-0 home
+42 · -35.5 Covered
Oregon St
W 27-24 away
+3 · -11.5 Didn't cover
W 45-14 home
+31 · -23.5 Covered
UCF
W 30-27 away
+3 · +1.5 Covered
W 48-9 home
+39 · -24.5 Covered
West Virginia
L 35-45 home
-10 · -12.5 Didn't cover
W 49-0 away
+49 · -24.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Houston won by 5.2 on average, 3-2 against the spread. Texas Tech won by 31.4 on average, 4-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
2 Houston1 Texas Tech
Houston -8.52
Tom Fornelli 1uLine -8.5 · Price -110 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 17 2:25 PM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original postDave Portnoy 1u*Line -7.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Texas Tech -6.51
Taylor Lewan 1u*Line -6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 18 1:01 PM ET · Record 8-9 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
0 Over3 Under
Under 53.53
Will Compton 1u*Line 52.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 18 1:08 PM ET · Record 8-11 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postBig Cat 1u*Line 53.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco 1u*Line 53.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Houston LWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Road2-1 67%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As underdog2-0 100%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Texas Tech LLLWW

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As favorite2-3 40%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 18, 2026HOU 26, TTU 28TTU -7.5HOU covered52.5Over
Oct 4, 2025TTU 35, HOU 11TTU -11.5TTU covered51.5Under
Sep 30, 2023HOU 28, TTU 49TTU -8.5TTU covered52.5Over
Sep 10, 2022HOU 30, TTU 33TTU -4HOU covered62Over
Sep 4, 2021TTU 38, HOU 21HOU -2.5TTU covered63Under

Houston 2-3 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

HOUTTU
5-1Record5-0
3-3Against the spread2-3
4-2Over-under3-2
+5.8Avg cover margin-6.7
40.0Points per game34.8
19.2Points allowed16.2
6.74Yards per play5.91
481.8Yards per game406.4
5.50Rush yards per carry4.70
67.1Completion %67.3
62.7Third down %43.3
+8Turnover margin+7
5Sacks allowed7
58.2Penalty yards per game52.6

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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