OfftheNumber
at
3-2, 1-4 ATS
43
FinalSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
USM +32.5
AUB -32.5
Open –
Total
Over 56.5
Under 56.5

Source: DraftKings.

USM 8, AUB 43. AUB covered by 2.5, under by 5.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 1 common opponent
Opponent Southern Miss Auburn
South Alabama
L 35-42 away
-7 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 31-15 home
+16 · -26.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Southern Miss lost by 7.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Auburn won by 16.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
No picks
Total
Southern Miss team over 44.51
Tom Fornelli Line 44.5 · Price -120 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 10 9:19 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Southern Miss WLLWL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road1-2 33%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As underdog1-3 25%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Auburn LWLLL

ATSTotals
All games1-4 20%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As favorite1-2 33%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 12, 2026USM 8, AUB 43AUB -32.5AUB covered56.5Under

Southern Miss 0-1 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

USMAUB
1-4Record3-2
2-3Against the spread1-4
3-2Over-under1-4
+0.3Avg cover margin-2.7
26.4Points per game26.8
34.6Points allowed21.4
5.77Yards per play5.43
415.6Yards per game399.8
4.20Rush yards per carry4.80
61.5Completion %65.2
32.3Third down %46.7
+0Turnover margin+2
11Sacks allowed18
58.8Penalty yards per game64.6

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.