NHL · 2026-27 betting profile

Washington Capitals

4-3 straight up · 3-4 ATS · 4-3 over-under

Against the spread

Split	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	Avg vs spread
All games	3-4	43%	Small sample	+0.1
Home	2-2	50%	Small sample	-0.8
Road	1-2	33%	Small sample	+1.2
Favorite	2-2	50%	Small sample	-0.8
Underdog	1-2	33%	Small sample	+1.2
Non-conference	3-4	43%	Small sample	+0.1
Last 5	2-3	40%	Small sample	-0.7

7 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

NHL, 2027 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 100% of games)

Split	O-U	Over %	Real or luck?	Avg vs total
All games	4-3	57%	Small sample	+0.2
Home	3-1	75%	Small sample	+1
Road	1-2	33%	Small sample	-0.8
Non-conference	4-3	57%	Small sample	+0.2
Last 5	3-2	60%	Small sample	+0.7

NHL, 2027 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 100% of games)

Date	Opponent	Result	Close	ATS	Total	O-U
Oct 14	vs Montreal	W 5-4	-1.5	L -0.5	6.5	O +2.5
Oct 13	at Carolina	L 2-4	+1.5	L -0.5	6.5	U -0.5
Oct 11	vs Seattle	L 3-5	-1.5	L -3.5	6.5	O +1.5
Oct 9	vs New York	W 3-1	-1.5	W +0.5	5.5	U -1.5
Oct 7	vs Pittsburgh	W 5-3	-1.5	W +0.5	6.5	O +1.5
Oct 3	at Tampa Bay	L 1-3	+1.5	L -0.5	6.5	U -2.5
Oct 2	at Carolina	W 5-2	+1.5	W +4.5	6.5	O +0.5

Close is Washington's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season	SU	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	O-U	Over %	Avg vs spread
2026-27	4-3	3-4	43%	Small sample	4-3	57%	+0.1

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.