OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

New Mexico Lobos

4-1 straight up · 5-0 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #39 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 10:30 PMFS1FOX One
atHawai'i Rainbow Warriors
SpreadNew Mexico -14.5
Total44.5
Moneyline-780
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games5-0100%Small sample+19.3
Home3-0100%Small sample+23.5
Road2-0100%Small sample+13
Favorite4-0100%Small sample+20.8
Underdog1-0100%Small sample+13.5
Conference1-0100%Small sample+30.5
Non-conference4-0100%Small sample+16.5
Last 55-0100%Small sample+19.3

5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games3-260%Small sample+5.5
Home2-167%Small sample+13.5
Road1-150%Small sample-6.5
Conference1-0100%Small sample+20.5
Non-conference2-250%Small sample+1.8
Last 53-260%Small sample+5.5

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 3vs UTEPW 61-7-23.5W +30.547.5O +20.5
Sep 26at New Mexico StateW 42-18-11.5W +12.547.5O +12.5
Sep 19at OklahomaL 6-14+21.5W +13.545.5U -25.5
Sep 12vs Mercyhurst LakersW 70-7-42.5W +20.554.5O +22.5
Sep 5vs Central MichiganW 38-7-11.5W +19.547.5U -2.5

Close is New Mexico's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20264-15-0100%Small sample3-260%+19.3
20259-47-654%Small sample5-742%+5.1
20245-77-558%Small sample9-375%+1
20234-86-650%Small sample9-375%+1.6
20222-103-8-127%Small sample6-650%-2.8
20213-91-118%Small sample3-925%-6.8
20202-54-357%Small sample4-357%+2.6
20192-103-8-127%Small sample4-7-136%-3.7

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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