NHL · 2026-27 betting profile

Buffalo Sabres

4-4 straight up · 4-4 ATS · 5-3 over-under

Against the spread

Split	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	Avg vs spread
All games	4-4	50%	Small sample	-0.4
Home	2-3	40%	Small sample	-0.3
Road	2-1	67%	Small sample	-0.5
Favorite	1-2	33%	Small sample	-1.5
Underdog	3-2	60%	Small sample	+0.3
Non-conference	4-4	50%	Small sample	-0.4
Last 5	3-2	60%	Small sample	-0.1

8 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

NHL, 2027 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 100% of games)

Split	O-U	Over %	Real or luck?	Avg vs total
All games	5-3	62%	Small sample	+0.5
Home	2-3	40%	Small sample	-0.3
Road	3-0	100%	Small sample	+1.8
Non-conference	5-3	62%	Small sample	+0.5
Last 5	3-2	60%	Small sample	+0.3

NHL, 2027 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 100% of games)

Date	Opponent	Result	Close	ATS	Total	O-U
Oct 15	at Toronto	W 5-4	+1.5	W +2.5	6.5	O +2.5
Oct 13	at Montreal	L 3-4	+1.5	W +0.5	6.5	O +0.5
Oct 12	vs Florida	W 5-3	-1.5	W +0.5	5.5	O +2.5
Oct 10	vs Utah	L 1-4	+1.5	L -1.5	6.5	U -1.5
Oct 8	vs Dallas	L 0-4	+1.5	L -2.5	6.5	U -2.5
Oct 6	vs Minnesota	W 3-2	+1.5	W +2.5	6.5	U -1.5
Oct 3	vs Chicago	W 4-3	-1.5	L -0.5	5.5	O +1.5
Oct 1	at Columbus	L 3-6	-1.5	L -4.5	6.5	O +2.5

Close is Buffalo's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season	SU	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	O-U	Over %	Avg vs spread
2026-27	4-4	4-4	50%	Small sample	5-3	62%	-0.4

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.