OfftheNumber
0-5, 2-3 ATS
at
2-3, 3-2 ATS
Sun Oct 18 · 1 PMLucas Oil StadiumFOX

The number

Spread
TEN +7 -115
IND -7 -105
First seen Fri 1:55 PM IND -7
Fair, no vig: TEN -104 / IND +104 (hold 4.7%)
Best: TEN +7 -110 at Hard Rock Bet; IND -6.5 -118 at betPARX
Total
Over 44.5 -109
Under 44.5 -113
First seen Fri 1:55 PM 44.5
Fair, no vig: O +102 / U -102 (hold 5.2%)
Best: O 44.5 -105 at FanDuel; U 44.5 -105 at Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
TEN +270
IND -340
First seen Fri 1:55 PM IND -340
Fair, no vig: TEN +286 / IND -286 (hold 4.3%)
Best: TEN +280 at DraftKings; IND -325 at Caesars

Updated Fri 1:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookTENINDOverUnderTEN MLIND ML
DraftKings+7-115-7-105o44.5-112u44.5-108+280-355
FanDuel+6.5-102-6.5-120o44.5-105u44.5-115+270-335
BetMGM+7-115-7-102o44.5-110u44.5-108+270-325
Caesars+7-114-7-106o44.5-107u44.5-113+260-325
theScore Bet+7-115-7-105o44.5-105u44.5-115+270-340
BetRivers+6.5-105-6.5-118o44.5-109u44.5-113+275-360
Fanatics+7-115-7-105o44.5-110u44.5-110+260-330
Hard Rock Bet+7-110-7-110o44.5-115u44.5-105+260-325
Bally Bet+6.5-105-6.5-118o44.5-109u44.5-113+275-360
betPARX+6.5-105-6.5-118o44.5-109u44.5-113+275-360

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Sitting right on 7. A half point either way matters here.

-6-7-8key 7First seen Fri 1:55 PMNow
IND line, first number we saw to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
43444546First seen Fri 1:55 PMNow
Total, first number we saw to now.

Betting form, 2026

Tennessee LWLWL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Indianapolis LWWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite1-0 100%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Titans Colts
Ravens
L 18-24 away
-6 · +11.5 Covered
L 23-41 home
-18 · +3 Didn't cover
Texans
L 3-26 home
-23 · +6.5 Didn't cover
W 19-17 home
+2 · +1.5 Covered

Against 2 common opponents: Titans lost by 14.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Colts lost by 8.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 10 common opponents
Opponent Titans Colts
Cardinals
W 22-21 away
+1 · +7.5 Covered
W 31-27 home
+4 · -8.5 Didn't cover
Broncos
L 12-20 away
-8 · +9.5 Covered
W 29-28 home
+1 · +1.5 Covered
Texans
L 0-26 away
-26 · +7.5 Didn't cover
L 16-20 home
-4 · -3 Didn't cover
L 13-16 home
-3 · +5.5 Covered
L 30-38 away
-8 · +9.5 Covered
Jaguars
L 3-25 home
-22 · +6 Didn't cover
L 19-36 away
-17 · -2.5 Didn't cover
L 7-41 away
-34 · +13.5 Didn't cover
L 17-23 home
-6 · +4.5 Didn't cover
Chiefs
W 26-9 home
+17 · +3.5 Covered
L 20-23 away
-3 · +4.5 Covered
Raiders
L 10-20 away
-10 · +4.5 Didn't cover
W 40-6 home
+34 · -7.5 Covered
Rams
L 19-33 home
-14 · +5.5 Didn't cover
L 20-27 away
-7 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Chargers
L 20-27 home
-7 · +9.5 Covered
W 38-24 away
+14 · +2.5 Covered
49ers
L 24-37 away
-13 · +12.5 Didn't cover
L 27-48 home
-21 · +4.5 Didn't cover
Seahawks
L 24-30 home
-6 · +11.5 Covered
L 16-18 away
-2 · +12.5 Covered

Against 10 common opponents: Titans lost by 10.4 on average, 6-6 against the spread. Colts lost by 1.2 on average, 6-6 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 26, 2025TEN 14, IND 38IND -14.5IND covered47.5Over
Sep 21, 2025IND 41, TEN 20IND -5.5IND covered42.5Over
Dec 22, 2024TEN 30, IND 38IND -4.5IND covered43.5Over
Oct 13, 2024IND 20, TEN 17TEN -2.5IND covered41.5Under
Dec 3, 2023IND 31, TEN 28IND -1.5IND covered42Over
Oct 8, 2023TEN 16, IND 23TEN -2.5IND covered43.5Under
Oct 23, 2022IND 10, TEN 19TEN -2.5TEN covered43Under
Oct 2, 2022TEN 24, IND 17IND -4.5TEN covered43Under
Oct 31, 2021TEN 34, IND 31IND -3TEN covered50.5Over
Sep 26, 2021IND 16, TEN 25TEN -4.5TEN covered47Under
Nov 29, 2020TEN 45, IND 26IND -3TEN covered51.5Over
Nov 12, 2020IND 34, TEN 17IND -1.5IND covered48.5Over
Dec 1, 2019TEN 31, IND 17IND -1TEN covered43.5Over
Sep 15, 2019IND 19, TEN 17TEN -3.5IND covered37.5Under

Tennessee 6-8 ATS in these meetings. 14 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

TENIND
0-5Record2-3
2-3Against the spread3-2
2-3Over-under3-2
-5Avg cover margin-1
11.6Points per game24.8
21.8Points allowed27.6
4.79Yards per play4.74
261.8Yards per game305.0
3.80Rush yards per carry3.70
63.2Completion %61.4
35.6Third down %35.3
-3Turnover margin-3
10Sacks allowed9
49.6Penalty yards per game32.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Titans0 Colts
Titans -71
Will Hill*Line -7 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:40 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Where to watch

OnFOX
Streams onAntennaFOX OneDIRECTVYouTube TV+2

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.