OfftheNumber
Houston Texans
1-4, 1-4 ATS
vs
Sun Oct 18 · 9:30 AMWembley StadiumNFL Network

The number

Spread
HOU +2.5 -109
JAX -2.5 -115
First seen Fri 1:55 PM JAX -2.5
Fair, no vig: HOU +103 / JAX -103 (hold 5.6%)
Best: HOU +2.5 +100 at DraftKings; JAX -2.5 -110 at FanDuel
Total
Over 42.5 -112
Under 42.5 -109
First seen Fri 1:55 PM 42.5
Fair, no vig: O -101 / U +101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 42 -110 at BetMGM; U 42.5 -105 at theScore Bet
Moneyline
HOU +120
JAX -148
First seen Fri 1:55 PM JAX -148
Fair, no vig: HOU +131 / JAX -131 (hold 5.1%)
Best: HOU +125 at Hard Rock Bet; JAX -140 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 1:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookHOUJAXOverUnderHOU MLJAX ML
DraftKings+2.5+100-2.5-120o42.5-112u42.5-108+124-148
FanDuel+2.5-110-2.5-110o42.5-108u42.5-112+120-142
BetMGM+2.5-105-2.5-115o42-110u42-108+120-145
Caesars+2.5-105-2.5-115o42.5-110u42.5-110+121-143
theScore Bet+2.5-110-2.5-110o42.5-115u42.5-105+120-140
BetRivers+2.5-109-2.5-113o42.5-112u42.5-109+116-148
Fanatics+2.5-105-2.5-115o42.5-110u42.5-110+125-150
Hard Rock Bet+2.5+100-2.5-120o42.5-115u42.5-105+125-145
Bally Bet+2.5-109-2.5-113o42.5-112u42.5-109+116-148
betPARX+2.5-109-2.5-113o42.5-112u42.5-109+116-148

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

-1-2-3-4key 3First seen Fri 1:55 PMNow
JAX line, first number we saw to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
41424344First seen Fri 1:55 PMNow
Total, first number we saw to now.

Betting form, 2026

Houston LLLLW

ATSTotals
All games1-4 20%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
As underdog0-1 0%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Jacksonville WLWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
As favorite2-1 67%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Texans Jaguars
Bengals
L 6-20 home
-14 · -3 Didn't cover
W 22-17 away
+5 · +2.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Texans lost by 14.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Jaguars won by 5.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 11 common opponents
Opponent Texans Jaguars
Cardinals
W 40-20 home
+20 · -10.5 Covered
W 27-24 away
+3 · -1.5 Covered
Bills
W 23-19 home
+4 · +4.5 Covered
L 24-27 home
-3 · -1.5 Didn't cover
Broncos
L 15-18 home
-3 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 34-20 away
+14 · +3.5 Covered
Colts
W 20-16 away
+4 · +3 Covered
W 36-19 home
+17 · +2.5 Covered
W 38-30 home
+8 · -9.5 Didn't cover
W 23-17 away
+6 · -4.5 Covered
Chiefs
W 20-10 away
+10 · +4.5 Covered
W 31-28 home
+3 · +3.5 Covered
Raiders
W 23-21 home
+2 · -14.5 Didn't cover
W 30-29 away
+1 · -1.5 Didn't cover
Rams
L 9-14 away
-5 · +3.5 Didn't cover
L 7-35 neutral
-28 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Chargers
W 20-16 away
+4 · +1.5 Covered
W 35-6 home
+29 · +2.5 Covered
49ers
W 26-15 home
+11 · -3.5 Covered
W 26-21 away
+5 · +3.5 Covered
Seahawks
L 19-27 away
-8 · +3.5 Didn't cover
L 12-20 home
-8 · +1.5 Didn't cover
Titans
W 26-0 home
+26 · -7.5 Covered
W 25-3 away
+22 · -6 Covered
W 16-13 away
+3 · -5.5 Didn't cover
W 41-7 home
+34 · -13.5 Covered

Against 11 common opponents: Texans won by 5.8 on average, 7-6 against the spread. Jaguars won by 7.3 on average, 9-4 against the spread.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 9, 2025JAX 29, HOU 36HOU -2.5HOU covered38.5Over
Sep 21, 2025HOU 10, JAX 17JAX -1.5JAX covered42.5Under
Dec 1, 2024HOU 23, JAX 20HOU -3.5JAX covered44.5Under
Sep 29, 2024JAX 20, HOU 24HOU -5.5JAX covered46.5Under
Nov 26, 2023JAX 24, HOU 21JAX -1JAX covered48Under
Sep 24, 2023HOU 37, JAX 17JAX -7.5HOU covered43.5Over
Jan 1, 2023JAX 31, HOU 3JAX -3.5JAX covered44Under
Oct 9, 2022HOU 13, JAX 6JAX -6.5HOU covered43.5Under
Dec 19, 2021HOU 30, JAX 16JAX -6HOU covered40Over
Sep 12, 2021JAX 21, HOU 37JAX -3.5HOU covered45.5Over
Nov 8, 2020HOU 27, JAX 25HOU -6.5JAX covered50.5Over
Oct 11, 2020JAX 14, HOU 30HOU -6HOU covered54.5Under
Nov 3, 2019HOU 26, JAX 3JAX -1HOU covered46Under
Sep 15, 2019JAX 12, HOU 13HOU -7.5JAX covered23.5Over

Houston 7-7 ATS in these meetings. 14 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

HOUJAX
1-4Record4-1
1-4Against the spread3-2
2-3Over-under1-4
-2.9Avg cover margin+7.8
22.0Points per game24.6
22.4Points allowed14.0
5.67Yards per play5.96
359.4Yards per game349.0
3.40Rush yards per carry4.10
64.0Completion %67.1
37.9Third down %45.9
+5Turnover margin+5
14Sacks allowed10
77.6Penalty yards per game69.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Texans2 Jaguars
Jaguars -2.52
Matt Bowen*Line -2.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 16 11:05 AM ET · No graded picks yet · Original postWill Hill*Line -2.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · Posted Oct 15 4:40 PM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Total
0 Over1 Under
Under 42.51
Matt Bowen†Line 42.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No number given; graded at our line when posted · Posted Oct 16 11:05 AM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post
Moneyline
0 Texans1 Jaguars
Jaguars1
Matt BowenPrice -142 · Posted Oct 16 11:05 AM ET · No graded picks yet · Original post

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Where to watch

OnNFL Network
Streams onESPN UnlimitedSling BlueDIRECTVYouTube TV+2
How to watch Houston How to watch Jacksonville

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