Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
KC 30, LV 27. LV covered by 0.5, over by 9.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
W 24-10 away +14 · -10 Covered | W 27-13 home +14 · -3 Covered |
Against 1 common opponent: Chiefs won by 14.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Raiders won by 14.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 10 common opponents
| Opponent | ||
|---|---|---|
L 28-31 away -3 · no line | L 16-33 home -17 · +3.5 Didn't cover | |
L 19-22 away -3 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 7-10 away -3 · +9.5 Covered | |
L 13-20 home -7 · +13.5 Covered | L 17-24 home -7 · +8.5 Covered | |
L 10-20 home -10 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 21-23 away -2 · +14.5 Covered | |
W 23-20 home +3 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 6-40 away -34 · +7.5 Didn't cover | |
L 28-31 away -3 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 29-30 home -1 · +1.5 Covered | |
L 21-27 neutral -6 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 9-20 home -11 · +3.5 Didn't cover | |
L 13-16 home -3 · -5.5 Didn't cover | L 14-31 away -17 · +9.5 Didn't cover | |
W 22-9 away +13 · -5.5 Covered | L 10-34 home -24 · +3 Didn't cover | |
L 17-20 home -3 · +1.5 Didn't cover | L 0-31 away -31 · +12.5 Didn't cover | |
L 9-26 away -17 · -3.5 Didn't cover | W 20-10 home +10 · -4.5 Covered | |
W 28-7 home +21 · -11.5 Covered | L 24-41 away -17 · +2.5 Didn't cover |
Against 10 common opponents: Chiefs lost by 1.5 on average, 3-8 against the spread. Raiders lost by 12.8 on average, 5-7 against the spread.
What the public cappers like
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Betting form, 2026 to date
Kansas City WLWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-2 50%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 2-2 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-2 50%Small sample |
4 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Las Vegas WWWWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-0 100%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | KC 30, LV 27 | KC -3.5 | LV covered | 47.5 | Over |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 12, LV 14 | KC -3.5 | LV covered | 35.5 | Under |
| Oct 19, 2025 | LV 0, KC 31 | KC -13.5 | KC covered | 45.5 | Under |
| Nov 29, 2024 | LV 17, KC 19 | KC -13.5 | LV covered | 41.5 | Under |
| Oct 27, 2024 | KC 27, LV 20 | KC -8.5 | LV covered | 42.5 | Over |
| Dec 25, 2023 | LV 20, KC 14 | KC -11 | LV covered | 40.5 | Under |
| Nov 26, 2023 | KC 31, LV 17 | KC -9 | KC covered | 43 | Over |
| Jan 7, 2023 | KC 31, LV 13 | KC -8.5 | KC covered | 52 | Under |
| Oct 10, 2022 | LV 29, KC 30 | KC -7 | LV covered | 51.5 | Over |
| Dec 12, 2021 | LV 9, KC 48 | KC -10 | KC covered | 48 | Over |
| Nov 14, 2021 | KC 41, LV 14 | KC -3 | KC covered | 53.5 | Over |
| Nov 22, 2020 | KC 35, LV 31 | KC -7.5 | LV covered | 56.5 | Over |
| Oct 11, 2020 | LV 40, KC 32 | KC -10.5 | LV covered | 54.5 | Over |
| Dec 1, 2019 | LV 9, KC 40 | KC -10.5 | KC covered | 51.5 | Under |
| Sep 15, 2019 | KC 28, LV 10 | KC -6.5 | KC covered | 46.5 | Under |
Kansas City 7-8 ATS in these meetings. 15 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
| LV | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 3-2 |
| 2-2 | Against the spread | 4-1 |
| 2-2 | Over-under | 3-2 |
| +4.8 | Avg cover margin | +3.4 |
| 29.5 | Points per game | 26.4 |
| 19.2 | Points allowed | 25.8 |
| 6.69 | Yards per play | 5.31 |
| 421.5 | Yards per game | 345.4 |
| 5.50 | Rush yards per carry | 3.00 |
| 64.1 | Completion % | 65.6 |
| 44.0 | Third down % | 39.4 |
| +5 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 6 | Sacks allowed | 8 |
| 63.8 | Penalty yards per game | 44.2 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

