Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
LAC 16, BUF 24. BUF covered by 1, under by 10.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 8 common opponents
| Opponent |  Chargers |  Bills |
|---|---|---|
 Broncos | W 23-20 home +3 · -2.5 Covered | L 30-33 away -3 · +1.5 Didn't cover |
L 3-19 away -16 · +15.5 Didn't cover | - | |
 Texans | L 16-20 home -4 · -1.5 Didn't cover | L 19-23 away -4 · -4.5 Didn't cover |
 Jaguars | L 6-35 away -29 · -2.5 Didn't cover | W 27-24 away +3 · +1.5 Covered |
 Chiefs | W 27-21 neutral +6 · +3.5 Covered | W 28-21 home +7 · +2.5 Covered |
W 16-13 away +3 · +5.5 Covered | - | |
 Dolphins | W 29-27 away +2 · -3.5 Didn't cover | W 31-21 home +10 · -11.5 Didn't cover |
| - | L 13-30 away -17 · -8.5 Didn't cover | |
 Patriots | L 3-16 away -13 · +3.5 Didn't cover | L 20-23 home -3 · -7.5 Didn't cover |
| - | W 35-31 away +4 · -2.5 Covered | |
 Eagles | W 22-19 home +3 · +1.5 Covered | L 12-13 home -1 · -3.5 Didn't cover |
 Steelers | W 25-10 home +15 · -3.5 Covered | W 26-7 away +19 · -3 Covered |
Against 8 common opponents: Chargers lost by 3.0 on average, 5-5 against the spread. Bills won by 1.5 on average, 4-6 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026 to date
Los Angeles LLLPL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 0-4-1 0%Small sample | 1-4 20% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-1-1 0%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 0-2-1 0%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 0-4-1 0%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Buffalo WWWLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 4-1 80% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1 67%Small sample | 2-1 67% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | LAC 16, BUF 24 | BUF -7 | BUF covered | 50.5 | Under |
| Dec 23, 2023 | BUF 24, LAC 22 | BUF -13 | LAC covered | 44.5 | Over |
| Nov 29, 2020 | LAC 17, BUF 27 | BUF -4.5 | BUF covered | 51 | Under |
Los Angeles 1-2 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
NFL, 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 LAC | BUF  | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 4-1 |
| 0-4-1 | Against the spread | 4-1 |
| 1-4 | Over-under | 4-1 |
| -8.6 | Avg cover margin | +1.1 |
| 16.8 | Points per game | 32.8 |
| 25.8 | Points allowed | 28.2 |
| 5.12 | Yards per play | 6.91 |
| 315.6 | Yards per game | 407.8 |
| 4.40 | Rush yards per carry | 5.40 |
| 59.0 | Completion % | 65.9 |
| 34.8 | Third down % | 50.0 |
| -2 | Turnover margin | -3 |
| 17 | Sacks allowed | 10 |
| 76.4 | Penalty yards per game | 72.4 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.