OfftheNumber
2-2, 2-2 ATS
34
at
2-3, 2-3 ATS
3
FinalFOXFOX One

Closing number

Spread
CAR -2.5
ATL +2.5
Open –
Total
Over 43.5
Under 43.5

Source: DraftKings.

CAR 34, ATL 3. CAR covered by 28.5, under by 6.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 10 common opponents
Opponent Panthers Falcons
Cardinals
L 22-27 away
-5 · +6.5 Covered
W 26-19 away
+7 · -2.5 Covered
Bills
L 9-40 home
-31 · +7.5 Didn't cover
W 24-14 home
+10 · +3.5 Covered
Rams
W 31-28 home
+3 · +10 Covered
W 27-24 home
+3 · +7.5 Covered
L 31-34 home
-3 · +10 Covered
-
Dolphins
W 27-24 home
+3 · +1.5 Covered
L 10-34 home
-24 · -6.5 Didn't cover
Patriots
L 13-42 away
-29 · +3 Didn't cover
L 23-24 away
-1 · +5.5 Covered
Saints
L 7-17 home
-10 · -5.5 Didn't cover
W 24-10 away
+14 · +1.5 Covered
L 17-20 away
-3 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 19-17 home
+2 · -3.5 Didn't cover
Jets
W 13-6 away
+7 · +1.5 Covered
L 24-27 away
-3 · -3 Didn't cover
49ers
L 9-20 away
-11 · +7 Didn't cover
L 10-20 away
-10 · -1.5 Didn't cover
Seahawks
L 10-27 home
-17 · +6.5 Didn't cover
L 9-37 home
-28 · +7 Didn't cover
Buccaneers
W 23-20 home
+3 · +3 Covered
L 20-23 home
-3 · -1.5 Didn't cover
L 14-16 away
-2 · +3 Covered
W 29-28 away
+1 · +6 Covered

Against 10 common opponents: Panthers lost by 7.3 on average, 7-6 against the spread. Falcons lost by 2.7 on average, 6-6 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026 to date

Carolina LWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-2 50%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As favorite1-1 50%Small sample
Last 52-2 50%Small sample

4 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Atlanta LLWWL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home0-2 0%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 20, 2026CAR 34, ATL 3CAR -2.5CAR covered43.5Under
Nov 16, 2025CAR 30, ATL 27ATL -4.5CAR covered41.5Over
Sep 21, 2025ATL 0, CAR 30ATL -4.5CAR covered43.5Under
Jan 5, 2025CAR 44, ATL 38ATL -7.5CAR covered48.5Over
Oct 13, 2024ATL 38, CAR 20ATL -6.5ATL covered45.5Over
Dec 17, 2023ATL 7, CAR 9ATL -2.5CAR covered33Under
Sep 10, 2023CAR 10, ATL 24ATL -3.5ATL covered40.5Under
Nov 10, 2022ATL 15, CAR 25ATL -2.5CAR covered41.5Under
Oct 30, 2022CAR 34, ATL 37ATL -4CAR covered41Over
Dec 12, 2021ATL 29, CAR 21CAR -2.5ATL covered42Over
Oct 31, 2021CAR 19, ATL 13ATL -2CAR covered46.5Under
Oct 29, 2020ATL 25, CAR 17CAR -3ATL covered52Under
Oct 11, 2020CAR 23, ATL 16ATL -2CAR covered53.5Under
Dec 8, 2019CAR 20, ATL 40ATL -3.5ATL covered47.5Over
Nov 17, 2019ATL 29, CAR 3CAR -3.5ATL covered49.5Under

Carolina 9-6 ATS in these meetings. 15 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

NFL, 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

CARATL
2-2Record2-3
2-2Against the spread2-3
2-2Over-under3-2
+3.4Avg cover margin+1.8
30.2Points per game23.8
27.2Points allowed24.4
6.29Yards per play6.05
421.5Yards per game375.0
4.40Rush yards per carry5.10
62.0Completion %62.7
38.0Third down %41.7
+4Turnover margin-4
10Sacks allowed11
67.5Penalty yards per game71.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.