OfftheNumber
1-4, 2-3 ATS
30
at
3-2, 1-3-1 ATS
31
FinalFOXFOX One

Closing number

Spread
NO +7
DET -7
Open –
Total
Over 49.5
Under 49.5

Source: DraftKings.

NO 30, DET 31. NO covered by 6, over by 11.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Saints Lions
Bears
L 14-26 away
-12 · +3.5 Didn't cover
W 52-21 home
+31 · -6.5 Covered
-
W 19-16 away
+3 · +3 Covered
Rams
L 10-34 away
-24 · +14.5 Didn't cover
L 34-41 away
-7 · +5.5 Didn't cover
Giants
W 26-14 home
+12 · -2.5 Covered
W 34-27 home
+7 · -14.5 Didn't cover
Buccaneers
L 3-23 home
-20 · +3.5 Didn't cover
W 24-9 home
+15 · -6.5 Covered
W 24-20 away
+4 · +7.5 Covered
-

Against 4 common opponents: Saints lost by 8.0 on average, 2-3 against the spread. Lions won by 9.8 on average, 3-2 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026 to date

New Orleans WWLLL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-1 67%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Detroit LLPLW

ATSTotals
All games1-3-1 25%Small sample5-0 100% overSmall sample
Home0-1-1 0%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite1-2-1 33%Small sample
Last 51-3-1 25%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 13, 2026NO 30, DET 31DET -7NO covered49.5Over
Dec 3, 2023DET 33, NO 28DET -3.5DET covered48Over
Oct 4, 2020NO 35, DET 29NO -3NO covered51.5Over

New Orleans 2-1 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

NFL, 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

NODET
1-4Record3-2
2-3Against the spread1-3-1
3-2Over-under5-0
-4Avg cover margin-0.1
23.6Points per game32.8
30.2Points allowed29.6
5.11Yards per play6.19
341.6Yards per game411.2
3.50Rush yards per carry4.40
66.8Completion %67.0
45.8Third down %37.3
-2Turnover margin+4
13Sacks allowed11
42.8Penalty yards per game51.6

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.