OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

TCU Horned Frogs

2-3 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 1-4 over-under · #49 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMFS1FOX One
atBaylor Bears
SpreadTCU +5.5
Total48.5
Moneyline+190
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games2-340%Small sample-1.7
Home2-167%Small sample+5.2
Road0-10%Small sample-11.5
Favorite2-250%Small sample-1.8
Underdog0-10%Small sample-1.5
Conference0-20%Small sample-6.5
Non-conference2-167%Small sample+1.5
Last 52-340%Small sample-1.7

5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games1-420%Small sample-12.5
Home1-233%Small sample-8.8
Road0-10%Small sample-14.5
Conference0-20%Small sample-18
Non-conference1-233%Small sample-8.8
Last 51-420%Small sample-12.5

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 3vs BYUL 10-17+5.5L -1.548.5U -21.5
Sep 26at UCFL 13-21-3.5L -11.548.5U -14.5
Sep 19vs Arkansas StateW 31-7-18.5W +5.556.5U -18.5
Sep 12vs Grambling TigersW 63-7-44.5W +11.556.5O +13.5
Aug 29vs North CarolinaL 10-15-7.5L -12.546.5U -21.5

Close is TCU's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20262-32-340%Small sample1-420%-1.7
20259-46-746%Small sample7-654%-1.6
20249-46-650%Small sample6-650%+3.2
20235-75-742%Small sample4-833%-3.4
202213-210-4-171%Small sample9-660%+5.4
20215-72-9-118%Small sample7-558%-9.4
20206-47-370%Small sample5-550%+2.5
20195-74-833%Small sample6-650%-2.7

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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