CFB · 2026 betting profile
Maryland Terrapins
2-4 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #86 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 12:30 PMBTNFOX One
vs
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsSpreadMaryland -5.5
Total55.5
Moneyline-210
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -5.5 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -12.8 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Favorite | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +14.5 |
| Underdog | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -15.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -18.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -9.9 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +6.2 |
| Home | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7.5 |
| Conference | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +8.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +6.3 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Ohio State | L 16-45 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 56.5 | O +4.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Nebraska | L 23-48 | +15.5 | L -9.5 | 52.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs UCLA | L 3-54 | +2.5 | L -48.5 | 55.5 | O +1.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Virginia Tech | L 26-35 | +2.5 | L -6.5 | 53.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 12 | at UConn | W 38-14 | -11.5 | W +12.5 | 52.5 | U -0.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Hampton Pirates | W 62-0 | -45.5 | W +16.5 | 56.5 | O +5.5 |
Close is Maryland's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | -5.5 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 3-8 | 27% | Small sample | 9-2 | 82% | -7.6 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -6.1 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -1.8 |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 1-4 | 20% | +5.2 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 2-10 | 17% | -3.9 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.