
CFB · 2026 betting profile
Kentucky Wildcats
5-1 straight up · 5-1 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #24 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7:30 PMSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited
at
Oklahoma Sooners
SpreadKentucky +6.5
Total43.5
Moneyline+205
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7:30 PM
15Kentucky5-1
Oklahoma3-2+6.5-6.5o43.5u43.5+205-255OU -7moved 0.5 to UKSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedOpen OU -7 · moved 0.5 to UKSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
Vanderbilt3-3
15Kentucky5-1+9.5-9.5o52.5u52.5+310-395–SEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +5.8 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +15 |
| Favorite | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +6.5 |
| Underdog | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +6.5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +5.1 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +10.2 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +10.2 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10 |
| Conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +12.9 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs LSU | W 35-34 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 50.5 | O +18.5 |
| Oct 3 | at South Carolina | W 35-34 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 52.5 | O +16.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs South Alabama | W 45-21 | -20.5 | W +3.5 | 54.5 | O +11.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Texas A&M | W 31-21 | +16.5 | W +26.5 | 48.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Alabama | L 17-45 | +9.5 | L -18.5 | 47.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Youngstown State Penguins | W 45-13 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 61.5 | U -3.5 |
Close is Kentucky's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | +5.8 |
| 2025 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -1.9 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -4.7 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | -1.9 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 1-12 | 8% | -2.2 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +2.7 |
| 2020 | 5-6 | 4-6-1 | 40% | Small sample | 4-7 | 36% | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +6.3 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.